Analyst thoughts: USD/ZAR Medium-term
VIEW RETAINED: MATURING BULL TREND
The expectation of a 1,2,3,4,5 impulsive bull trend off S3 to RA1* is materialising* and in a mature stage.
The fifth and final phase of the gains should target RA1* before a meaningful W,X,Y correction to S1 and S2* can develop.
Recent price action has allowed for a more specific RA1* target range as cluster resistance.
It is possible that the current upside could become overlapping, similar to the PQ bottoming.
If S2* holds over time then a very bullish outcome (grey illustrated i, ii, iii, iv, v) to new highs become the preferred longer-term scenario.
Target and Re-assessment Levels:
Important Levels: RA1* and S2*
Primary Trend: RA1*/S1 consolidation, followed by a bull trend to R3
Monthly Range: RA1*/S1
Current Trend and Target Levels: Gains to RA1*
Technical Rating: Medium