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  • Writer's picturePeet Serfontein

Analyst Thoughts - USD/ZAR Medium-Term

THE TRIANGLE PATTERN SEEMS TO BE IN A MATURED STAGE.


  • The PK* triangle pattern seems to be in a mature stage of development.

  • Gains off K to P is potentially completing phase D of the A,B,C,D,E triangle pattern.

  • The expected test of the R1/P target area could result in a bearish reversal with final phase E down-side to complete the triangle.

  • An eventual bullish reversal off K* will initiate the illustrated 1,2,3,4,5 bull trend to R2 and T1.

  • While a reversal is expected off P, current gains can extend to R2* without necessarily negating the triangle pattern view.

 


Target and Reassessment Levels:

Important Levels: R2* and K*

Primary Trend: P/K* consolidation, followed by a bull trend to T1

Current Trend: Downside off P to MP and K*

Monthly Range: P/MP

Technical Rating: Medium



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