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Writer's picturePeet Serfontein

Analyst Thoughts - USD/ZAR Medium-Term

MATURING PK SYMMETRICAL TRIANGLE PATTERN


  • Summary: The PK symmetrical triangle pattern is maturing and possibly in the final stages of development. • Further W,X,Y-type downside to cluster support around L, K and S2 is expected to hold.

  • Impulsive gains off the bearish bottoming area should target T1 and T2 over time.

  • Short term: Further downside potential to L and K.

  • Important levels: S2* is the negation level for the view and R1 the activation level.

  • Alternative: The PK symmetrical triangle pattern is preferred, but a number of complex consolidations can develop.



Target and re-assessment levels:

Important levels: R1* and S2*

Primary trend: PK consolidation, followed by a bull trend to T1/T2

Current trend: Downside to L and K

Monthly Range: R0/K

Technical rating: Medium




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