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Writer's picturePeet Serfontein

Analyst Thoughts - USD/ZAR Medium-Term

THE PRICE ACTION SEEMS TO BE AT THE START OF WAVE 1


  • Summary: Expected upside off S2/L to P remains in line with the preferred view of impulsive upside to T1 and T2 over time.

  • The recent definitive upside off L and through SA1* confirms the illustrated bullish outlook.

  • The P*L symmetrical triangle pattern seems mature. A break of P* will activate the extended upside.

  • A break below SA1* will neutralise the immediate upside potential and point to further medium-term range trading between P* and L.

  • Important levels: P* and SA1*.




Target and re-assessment levels:

Important levels: SA1* and P*

Primary trend: P*/SA1* consolidation, followed by a bull trend to T1/T2

Current trend: Gains towards P*

Monthly Range: P*/SA1*

Technical rating: Medium




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