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  • Writer's picturePeet Serfontein

Analyst thoughts: USD/ZAR Medium-term

VIEW RETAINED FOR THAT OF A 18.37 TO 19.27 PRICE CONSILIDATION RANGE THAT IS DEVELOPING.

  • The expected R1*/S1* medium-term consolidation continues to contain medium-term price action.

  • A number of feasible consolidation alternatives could still develop within the R1*/S1* range. A P*Q triangle pattern is illustrated as one alternative.

  • Overlapping downward bias off P towards line Q seems to unfold as part of the larger sideways move.

  • If S1* holds over time then a renewed bull trend (i, ii, iii, iv, v) to R2 and T1, remains likely.

  • Breaking R1* will activate the upside, while S1* is pivotal for the general bullish outcome.

Target and Re-assessment Levels:

Important Levels: R1* and S1*

Primary Trend: P/Q* consolidation, followed by a bull trend to T1

Monthly Range: P/S0

Current Trend and Target Levels: P/S0 ranging

Technical Rating: Medium


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