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  • Writer's picturePeet Serfontein

Domestic Headline Equity Sectors - Medium-Term

JSE RESOURCES

Please consult the chart provided below for comprehensive details. It features a red line representing the anticipated price movement in the upcoming period. This visual representation offers a clear forecast of the expected market trend.


The sector is expected to face some downside, indicating a potential decrease in equity prices. However, this is seen not as a deterrent but as an opportunity for speculative long positions. Traders and investors might interpret the anticipated decline as a chance to buy resource equities at lower prices, speculating that they will rebound in the future. This approach is inherently riskier and may require close monitoring of market trends and underlying commodity prices.



JSE INDUSTRIALS

Please consult the chart provided below for comprehensive details. It features a red line representing the anticipated price movement in the upcoming period. This visual representation offers a clear forecast of the expected market trend.


The bullish view on industrials is based on the observation that the price action is at major support. This suggests that industrial equities have reached a price level where historical patterns indicate a potential for rebound or stabilisation. Traders and investors might consider this an opportune moment to enter or increase their positions, anticipating a rise in prices from these levels.



JSE FINANCIALS

Please consult the chart provided below for comprehensive details. It features a red line representing the anticipated price movement in the upcoming period. This visual representation offers a clear forecast of the expected market trend.


This sector appears to be the most concerning, with expectations of a prolonged correction. A correction is a downward movement in equity prices, often seen as a natural market adjustment after periods of significant gains. The possible interim rally (see the labelled blue A and B on the chart) suggests that there could be short-term upward movements in prices, but these are viewed as temporary and not indicative of a reversal of the overall bearish trend. Traders and investors might approach this sector with caution, potentially capitalising on short-term rallies but being mindful of the longer-term bearish outlook.



JSE PROPERTY

Please consult the chart provided below for comprehensive details. It features a red line representing the anticipated price movement in the upcoming period. This visual representation offers a clear forecast of the expected market trend.


Similar to resources, the property sector is also expected to see some downside potential. However, it is noted that there could be selective opportunities for long positions. This implies that while the overall sector might experience a downturn, certain equities or segments within the property sector could present valuable investment opportunities. Traders and investors may need to conduct thorough research to identify these specific areas that might outperform the broader market.


In summary, the analysis indicates a nuanced approach to investing in these local sectors. While industrials present a clear bullish opportunity, resources and property require selective and possibly speculative strategies. Financials, however, demand caution due to their bearish undertone interspersed with potential but limited short-term rallies.




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