As we enter November, investors have their eyes set on opportunities to maximise returns in the coming months. With market dynamics shifting, selecting the right stocks is key to navigating short-term volatility and long-term growth potential. From powerhouse tech giants to specialised ETFs, here’s our selection of five stocks to watch in November, backed by industry trends, earnings reports, and strategic insights from Unum Capital.
AMAZON INC (AMZN)
As one of the world's biggest retailers, Amazon holds one of the leading positions as a company that is benefiting from the growth in e-commerce, as well as the broader technological landscape which includes cloud computing services as well as artificial intelligence. Recently (31 October), the company reported its earnings for the quarter ended 30 September 2024, where net sales increased by 11% to $158 billion, compared to $143 billion for the same quarter in 2023. Operating income increased to $17.4 billion for the quarter, compared with $11.2 billion for the same period last year. Operating cash flow increased by 57% to $112 billion while free cash flow increased to $47.7 billion from $21.4 for the same period last year. Amazon was recently highlighted as a global stock idea, highlighting the company's global leadership position and its owner-manager culture with the current CEO and previous CEO holding a a substantial portion of their wealth in the business. Following the release of the aforementioned results, the market sent the shares higher by over 6%. Although the reaction was positive, the share continues to trade at roughly the same level seen 4 years ago, with $200 being the key resistance zone at which a break and close above would potentially help kick-start a new leg higher.
ASPEN PHARMACARE (APN)
Over the past 19 months, Unum Capital clients were alerted to two opportunities to trade the Aspen Pharmacare, with views that saw the opportunity to trade both the long (buy) and the short/sell side. Whilst we initially saw some volatility in both of these opportunities, the share acted under my initial view, which ended up benefiting clients who took the opportunity to trade. Most recently, the short/sell view unfolded to a large degree, with the share trading down to R177, from the August high of above R250. As with most pullbacks in the price of a security, it often presents an opportunity to potentially trade buy/long side with the expectation that the price could revert to the mean. Within the recent downward trend, the 'price action' for APN has been very poor, however in recent sessions, the candle structure has reflected some early buying interest with the downward trend slowing down and the selling becoming 'less aggressive'. I don't expect the current level to be the exact short-term bottom however, the data has suggested that the reward-to-risk is becoming attractive for a small buy/long position i.e. a possible technical turn in the near term.
BID CORP (BID)
Clients of Unum Capital have access to high-quality, actionable research insights that help to understand and manage risks as well as uncover opportunities. These include proprietary tools that automate analysis to highlight risks and opportunities. Most recently, the data for Bid Corp showed that although selling has been aggressive in the short term, the share was positioned for a potential rebound. From R417 at the time of writing, the share rallied by R20 to test a high of R437 four (4) sessions later on Wednesday 06 November. These price moves represent opportunities to profit from volatility and generate cash flow around core positions.
DISCOVERY HOLDINGS (DSY)
Here at Unum Capital, clients can participate in both upward trends (rising prices) and downward trends (falling prices). In recent months, Discovery has been one of the strongest shares on the JSE, with the share rallying from around R113 to above R184 in recent sessions. According to our data, whilst exhibiting high bullish momentum, the share is approaching overbought levels on a short and medium-term basis. This does not represent an appealing reward-to-risk on the buy/long side and may also offer an opportunity to take a contrarian view which sees the potential for a bearish reversal. At current levels, the share is trading around its swing highs of April 2022 and, while the price overshoots to the upside, a false breakout and bearish reversal may be possible. Upon this potential development, traders should remain open to the potential for a tactical short/sell trade.
PACER US SMALL CAP CASH COWS 100 ETF (CALF)
With small caps having been under-owned relative to their large-cap peers, there may be potential for a further re-rating as policy becomes more clear in the United States. The CALF ETF considers companies with high free cash flow yields as it indicates a company is producing more cash than it needs to run the business and can invest in growth opportunities. Technically, the ETF has been trading in a multi-month consolidation range where the price has started to show signs of strength. This suggests that there is potential for a new momentum leg which could see the ETF trade at higher levels in the medium term.
These five stocks showcase unique opportunities in November, each poised to respond to market shifts with distinct strengths. Whether you’re looking to capitalise on tech’s momentum or explore contrarian trades, Unum Capital offers insights and strategies to guide your investment choices. For more in-depth analysis and expert recommendations, get in contact with our team of experts at tradingdesk@unum.co.za and let us help you make the most of your portfolio.
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