Trading Impala Platinum

Lester Davids
11 minutes ago
2 min read

Research Notes December 2025 > https://www.unum.capital/post/rdec2025

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IMP has rebounded strongly from our previous buy re-entry range of 15100c to 15400c, reaching a high of +23600c in the subsequent weeks.

Highlights

The "Goldilocks" Breakout: Unlike some of the other charts reviewed recently (which are flashing "Extreme Overbought" warnings), Impala Platinum is in the momentum "sweet spot." The Ultra Short Term (2-Day) indicator is reading in the "High Bullish Momentum / Approaching Overbought" tier. It is hot enough to confirm aggressive institutional buying, but not so extreme that it guarantees an immediate crash. This is the healthiest type of high-velocity trend.
Full Spectrum Synchronization: There is powerful alignment across the board. The Short Term and Mid Term indicators have also pushed into the "High Bullish Momentum" tier. When three out of four timeframes are synchronized in this specific zone, it typically signals a sustained "impulse wave" where dips are shallow and rapidly bought.
Structural Runway: The 14-Day Base Term trend acts as the anchor. It is sitting comfortably in the "Strong" tier. This is critical: while the fast money is chasing the breakout, the structural trend is nowhere near exhaustion. It has significant statistical headroom to rise towards the upper tiers, supporting a move to higher prices over the coming weeks.
Price Discovery: The stock is breaking out of a consolidation pattern, clearing the 22,000c handle. The lack of bearish divergence in the indicators suggests this breakout is genuine.

🟢 Bullish Scenario: Clean Breakout: The stock exhibits "runaway gap" behavior. It ignores the minor overbought reading and powers straight through 22,500c, drawing in late-cycle buyers and targeting 23,500c within the week.

⚪ Base Scenario: High-Level Flag: The price churns between 21,800c and 22,400c for a few days. This allows the 2-Day momentum to cool from the "Approaching Overbought" levels down to "Strong," effectively reloading the energy for the next leg higher without damaging the chart structure.

🔴 Bearish Scenario: False Breakout: The stock fails to hold the 21,500c breakout zone. A close below 21,000c would drag the fast indicators out of the "High Bullish" tier and signal a "bull trap," targeting a retest of 20,000c.