MTN Group: Shorts in the Money + Where to Buy Next

Lester Davids
1 day ago
2 min read

Research Notes November 2025 > https://www.unum.capital/post/rnov2025

Trade Local & Global Financial Markets with Unum Capital.

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In the previous note, our CORE THESIS was that the share was 'Structurally Bullish, But Extremely Overbought' with 17160c to 17500c was marked as a key resistance level. Since then the share was rejected off this range on multiple occasions with a new multi-week low of 16105c being reached during yesterday's session. The 8 and 21-day EMA has been breached while the price close the session below a flat to rising 8-week EMA. The next best provisional buy re-entry range is marked at the rising 21-week EMA which is roughly in line with the previous breakout level (14867c to 15128c but subject to change as the news flow and price action develops.

Trading Notes (Where Applicable):

READY TO TRADE: ACTIONABLE AREAS: For active traders who look to generate cash flow on a continuous basis, determining the ‘next best probability’ level to execute against may be of immense value. The blue and red horizontal lines on the chart represent a next best probability buy re-entry range and a next best probability sell re-entry range over the short term. The ranges assume no existing position being held by a trader while the probabilities are based on several factors which may include: short term rating, medium term regime, momentum, horizontal or diagonal support/resistance, candle structure, moving averages and standard deviation, among others. These are short term levels and may be in contrast to medium and long term outlooks which are based on the weekly and monthly charts and, which may be applicable to long term investors. These levels are subject to change based on sentiment, the subsequent price action and company/sector specific or macro news flow. As always, while the levels are outlined, traders should be prepared to adjust in real-time based on the aforementioned.