JSE Relative Sector Ratings: Strongest To Weakest
- Lester Davids
- 10 hours ago
- 3 min read
Research Notes For 19 to 24 May > https://www.unum.capital/post/r1924may
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Summary Ranking of Sectors (Preference based on weighted timeframes):
Considering the short term carries the most weight, followed by medium, then long term, here's a preference ranking:
Luxury Goods VS TOP 40: (Short Term: High Bullish Momentum / Approaching Overbought, Medium Term: Strong)
Insurers VS TOP 40: (Short Term: High Bullish Momentum / Approaching Overbought, Medium Term: Neutral)
Technology VS TOP 40: (Short Term: Strong, Medium Term: Strong)
Banks VS TOP 40: (Short Term: Strong, Medium Term: Strong)
Consumer Disc. VS TOP 40: (Short Term: Strong, Medium Term: Strong)
Telecoms VS TOP 40: (Short Term: Neutral, Medium Term: Neutral, Long Term: Strong)
Gold Miners VS TOP 40: (Short Term: Weak, Medium Term: Neutral, Long Term: Strong)
Chemicals VS TOP 40: (Short Term: Neutral, Medium Term: Weak, Long Term: Oversold)
Coal Miners VS TOP 40: (Short Term: Weak, Medium Term: Oversold, Long Term: High Bearish Momentum / Approaching Oversold)
Miners VS TOP 40: (Short Term: Weak, Medium Term: High Bearish Momentum / Approaching Oversold, Long Term: Oversold)
Paper & Pulp VS TOP 40: (Short Term: Neutral, Medium Term: Weak, Long Term: High Bearish Momentum / Approaching Oversold)
Consumer Staples VS TOP 40: (Short Term: Neutral, Medium Term: Neutral, Long Term: Neutral)
Hospitals VS TOP 40: (Short Term: Neutral, Medium Term: Neutral, Long Term: Neutral)
Healthcare VS TOP 40: (Short Term: Neutral, Medium Term: Weak, Long Term: Weak)
Platinum Miners VS TOP 40: (Short Term: Weak, Medium Term: Weak, Long Term: Weak)
This ranking prioritizes sectors with strong short-term indicators, followed by medium-term strength, and then considers the long-term perspective.
Technology VS TOP 40
Short Term: Strong
Medium Term: Strong
Long Term: High Bullish Momentum / Approaching Overbought
Overall: Suggests continued strength, potentially nearing a point of decreased upward momentum in the long term.
Miners VS TOP 40
Short Term: Weak
Medium Term: High Bearish Momentum / Approaching Oversold
Long Term: Oversold
Overall: Indicates significant weakness in the medium term, although the long term suggests potential for a recovery. The short-term weakness adds to the negative outlook.
Banks VS TOP 40
Short Term: Strong
Medium Term: Strong
Long Term: Strong
Overall: Demonstrates consistent strength across all timeframes.
Insurers VS TOP 40
Short Term: High Bullish Momentum / Approaching Overbought
Medium Term: Neutral
Long Term: Neutral
Overall: Shows strong positive momentum in the short term, with a more neutral outlook for the medium and long term.
Gold Miners VS TOP 40
Short Term: Weak
Medium Term: Neutral
Long Term: Strong
Overall: The short-term weakness and neutral medium-term performance contrast with long-term strength, creating a mixed outlook.
Platinum Miners VS TOP 40
Short Term: Weak
Medium Term: Weak
Long Term: Weak
Overall: Suggests consistent underperformance across all timeframes.
Consumer Staples VS TOP 40
Short Term: Neutral
Medium Term: Neutral
Long Term: Neutral
Overall: Indicates performance generally in line with the broader market across all time horizons.
Consumer Disc. VS TOP 40
Short Term: Strong
Medium Term: Strong
Long Term: Neutral
Overall: Shows strength in the short and medium term, with a more neutral long-term perspective.
Healthcare VS TOP 40
Short Term: Neutral
Medium Term: Weak
Long Term: Weak
Overall: Suggests underperformance in the medium and long term, with a neutral short-term outlook.
Hospitals VS TOP 40
Short Term: Neutral
Medium Term: Neutral
Long Term: Neutral
Overall: Indicates performance generally in line with the broader market across all time horizons.
Coal Miners VS TOP 40
Short Term: Weak
Medium Term: Oversold
Long Term: High Bearish Momentum / Approaching Oversold
Overall: Points to significant weakness, particularly in the long and medium term, although the medium term being 'Oversold' suggests a potential for a short-term bounce.
Telecoms VS TOP 40
Short Term: Neutral
Medium Term: Neutral
Long Term: Strong
Overall: The short and medium terms are neutral, contrasting with long-term strength.
Paper & Pulp VS TOP 40
Short Term: Neutral
Medium Term: Weak
Long Term: High Bearish Momentum / Approaching Oversold
Overall: Suggests weakness, particularly in the long and medium term.
Chemicals VS TOP 40
Short Term: Neutral
Medium Term: Weak
Long Term: Oversold
Overall: Indicates weakness in the medium term, while the long term being 'Oversold' suggests potential for a recovery. The short term is neutral.
Luxury Goods VS TOP 40
Short Term: High Bullish Momentum / Approaching Overbought
Medium Term: Strong
Long Term: Neutral
Overall: Shows strong positive momentum in the short term and strength in the medium term, with a neutral long-term outlook.
Lester Davids
Senior Investment Analyst: Unum Capital
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