🖥️ Technical Screen: Stage 1 Cyclical Basing Candidates (Exhaustion Inversion)

Research: October 2026 > https://www.unum.capital/post/roct2026

Published post-market close on Thursday 15 October for Friday 16 October.

Disclosure: The screen/commentary below was compiled using an artificial intelligence tool, based on my own data.

• Regime Parameters: Weekly and Monthly momentum are pinned in Oversold or High Bearish Momentum / Approaching Oversold, but Daily momentum has successfully neutralized out of capitulation and is carving higher lows in Neutral (42–58).

• Structural Signature: Downward momentum velocity has dried up. While the secular ribbon remains inverted, the Daily candle structure forms multi-week double bottoms or rounding bases. Price begins to interweave with its flattening 8-day and 21-day EMAs rather than getting rejected by them.

• Core Counters:

  • KIO (Kumba Iron Ore Limited): Daily: Neutral (44.73) | Weekly: Oversold (11.79) | Monthly: High Bearish Momentum / Approaching Oversold (20.67)

  • NPH (Northam Platinum Holdings Limited): Daily: Neutral (46.28) | Weekly: Weak (37.93) | Monthly: Neutral (44.28)

  • IMP (Impala Platinum Holdings Limited): Daily: Weak (41.90) | Weekly: Weak (33.52) | Monthly: Neutral (44.44)

  • SSW (Sibanye Stillwater Limited): Daily: Weak (35.10) | Weekly: Weak (35.74) | Monthly: Neutral (44.53)

• Tactical Execution Mandate: Accumulate on base-floor confirmation. Risk is strictly defined against the structural multi-month floor (e.g., KIO defending 21,452 ZAC). Position sizing should be conservative until Daily momentum un-inverts into Strong on a confirmed volume breakout through the 21-day EMA.