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Research Notes February 2026 > https://www.unum.capital/post/rfeb2026 Trade   Local & Global Financial Markets with Unum Capital. To get started, email   tradingdesk@unum.co.za Date & Time Published: Thursday, 05 February (Pre-Market) Buy OMU, MTM, or SLM  on a pullback; they show strong R:R potential in the Weakening quadrant. Buy KRO or WVR  on a pullback to capture continuation in high-velocity technology leaders. Buy SAP or TKG  on a pullback; sellers appear exhausted in the Lagging/Weakening phases. Buy MRP or SHP  on a pullback as they test a statistical floor in the Lagging quadrant. Buy WBO or GND  on a pullback; their high R:R indicates significant upside from the Industrials sector. Buy ANG or PAN  on a pullback to ride the gold momentum while maintaining a tight stop. Buy CFR or TKG  on a pullback as they emerge from the 'Improving' quadrant with fresh momentum. Buy NPN or PRX  on a pullback as they represent high-conviction reversal plays at a statistical floor. Buy VOD or MTN  on a pullback to stay aligned with the broader upward macro trend. Buy N91 or NY1  on a pullback to capitalize on the capitulation bounce in the Financials sector. If BTI or SBK  spikes higher from here, they enter a confirmed sell range for a shorting opportunity due to exhaustion. If ARL or SNT  trades higher, they hit a 'NO' buy zone, providing a tactical shorting opportunity. If S32 or GLN  spikes from current levels, they move deeper into the 'Overextended' zone for a potential short. If TFG or CLS  spikes from here, they hit a 'Sell on Rally' trap, ideal for tactical shorting. If RBO or OUT  trades higher, the vertical thrust enters a 'NO' buy zone, signaling a shorting chance. If BHG or OMN  trades higher, they hit a 'Momentum Wall,' making them candidates for a short entry. If CAT or PMR  spikes higher, they enter an 'Avoid Chasing' zone, perfect for a contrarian short. If SUI  trades higher, it approaches a sell/reduce range where momentum is likely to stall. If MSP or ISO  spikes higher, it creates a 'Sell on Rally' shorting opportunity near resistance. If SSW or IMP  spikes into extreme overextension, they provide a low-risk sell/reduce opportunity. Watch for a False Breakdown in TRU or WBC : If price dips below the recent support level but closes back above it within 1–2 sessions, it creates a high-conviction Long/Buy opportunity (Bear Trap). Watch for a False Breakout in BTI or SBK : If price spikes above current multi-year resistance on low volume only to fail and close back within the range, it creates a high-conviction Short opportunity (Bull Trap). Watch for a False Breakdown in SHP or PIK : A brief "stop-hunt" below the 200-day moving average that is immediately reclaimed signals a strong Long entry. Watch for a False Breakout in S32 : A vertical move into record territory that fails to attract institutional volume on the "retest" is a major Short signal. Watch for a "Pin Bar" Reversal in NPN : If a move to new lows creates a long lower wick, it confirms a false breakdown and provides a precise Buy entry. Identify a "Bullish Engulfing" in SAP : If a small red candle is followed by a large green candle that completely covers it, the Improving phase is confirmed—Buy Now. Execute a "Short" on SNT if a Shooting Star forms : A small body with a very long upper wick at resistance indicates a False Breakout. Long EXX on a Bull Flag breakout : If the stock consolidates sideways after a 5% gain and then breaks the upper trendline, enter for the Continuation trade. Short AGL on a Double Top : If price tests the resistance target twice and fails to break through, it confirms institutional selling. Buy NPN on a Volume Climax : If the stock drops 5% on record volume but finishes the day green, it signifies Capitulation. Lester Davids Senior Investment Analyst: Unum Capital

Research Notes February 2026 > https://www.unum.capital/post/rfeb2026 Trade   Local & Global Financial Markets with Unum Capital. To get started, email   tradingdesk@unum.co.za Date & Time Published: Thursday, 05 February at 08h58 Silver traded into our sell re-entry range before selling off 12%. Short term traders, take profit! Previous Post (Monday, 02 February) Actionable Trading Levels: Spot Silver Trading Notes/Resources (Where Applicable) READY TO TRADE: ACTIONABLE AREAS:  For active traders who look to generate cash flow on a continuous basis, determining the ‘next best probability’ level to execute against may be of immense value.  The blue and red  horizontal lines on the chart  represent a next best probability buy re-entry range and a next best probability sell re-entry range  over the short term. The ranges assume no existing position being held by a trader while the probabilities are based on several factors which may include: short term rating, medium term regime, momentum, horizontal or diagonal support/resistance, candle structure, moving averages and standard deviation, among others. These are short term levels and may be in contrast to medium and long term outlooks which are based on the weekly and monthly charts and, which may be applicable to long term investors. These levels are subject to change  based on sentiment, the subsequent price action and company/sector specific or macro news flow. As always, while the levels are outlined, traders should be prepared to adjust in real-time  based on the aforementioned. "Strategy Alerts"  help clients identify trading opportunities . When a ticker's real-time or pre-market price action aligns with the criteria on a slide—such as a pullback to the 21-day EMA or a breakout from a consolidation base—it effectively "matches" that stock to the strategy, triggering an alert to a potential trading opportunity.  This approach transforms the playbook into a dynamic scanning tool, allowing you to instantly categorize active stocks by the specific technical thesis playing out , ensuring that every trading potential opportunity communicated is backed by a predefined, actionable setup. THE TACTICAL TRADING GUIDE (PRICE ACTION MODEL) :  UNCOVER OPPORTUNITIES & ASSESS REWARD-TO-RISK It helps helps clients determine and shed light on the some of the following: The CURRENT TECHNICAL POSITION  and a PRICE ACTION PROBABILITY  for multiple time frames. Three (3) ‘trading’ time frames are considered: Short Term (1 to 10 days) / Medium Term (2 to 4 weeks) and Long Term (5 to 8 weeks) Whether the reward-to-risk is attractive for a buy/long position Whether a share is weak. In this case, wait until the price stabilizes before looking to enter (i.e. want until it stops going down) Whether aggressive buying is underway. In this case, do not ‘chase’ (do not buy) but instead wait for a pullback to re-enter a buy or an overextension with deteriorating candle structure to sell/short. Whether a trader can look to buy a pullback into a key moving average (continuation trade) Whether a share needs to break a range for a new trend to be determined (bullish or bearish) Whether a traders needs to monitor for a change of character that could lead to a bullish or bearish reversal Whether a share could start a consolidation phase or before continuing it’s bullish or bearish trend Whether the upward momentum is slowing (if it's in a bullish phase) Whether buyers can look to 'phase in' to a position (if it's in a bearish phase) Whether a share lacks directional bias. The data set is available in real-time (on request) The readings are subject to change as the price action develops. TRADING TIP # 1 Let The Candle Confirm   Out of all those available, Candlestick Charts are the most widely used when it comes to analyzing price from a technical perspective.  The interpretation thereof helps traders to understand the interaction between market participants and informs who is in control between buyers and sellers. Various types of candle formation convey key information about the range of outcomes for a share for example, following a downward trend, a long lower tail, doji, piercing or bullish engulfing suggests that buyers have started to become active/started to take an interest while following an upward trend, a long upper tail, doji, dark cloud cover or bearish engulfing suggests that sellers have started to become active/started to take an interest. While information is conveyed pre-market, it is the intraday price action that will confirm any trade or opportunity. While we have a plan, we are also ready to switch gears as the price action develops. TRADING TIP # 2: Failure & Reclaim FAILURE to hold a prior session high/range  high may signal that the upside momentum is slowing and that an opportunity to short/sell may be at hand. This is often reflected via a deteriorating candle structure which suggests that sellers are starting to take control. Examples of such candles are long upper tails, doji's, dark cloud covers, bearish engulfing candles etc. RECLAIMING a prior session low/range  may signal that the downside momentum is slowing and that an opportunity to buy may be at hand. This is often reflected via a improving candle structure which suggests that buyers have started to enter and are looking to take control of the price action. Examples of such candles are long lower tails, doji's, piercing candles, bullish engulfing candles etc. TRADING TIP # 3: Take Note of the 'Igniting Bar'   This is a large green or red candle which suggests that traders should: TAKE NOTE  note of the change in characters and potential change of the trend. TAKE NOTE  of a potential acceleration of the trend. TAKE NOTE  of potentially aggressive buy or selling Often, BIG MOVES start with BIG MOVES. Core Trading Principles: Short and Medium Term Trade with the primary trend. Volume Matters. This represents the interest of large institutional investors who have the ability to move a share, both up and down. Do not short/sell a share that is above, and in close proximity to it’s rising 8 and 21-day moving averages. This trend can persist for an extended period. Ultra short term traders, if a share has advanced strongly over a 3-7 day period, book profits. You can always re-enter and do the same trade at lower levels. If a share is printing a large bullish (green) candlestick following an extended move, use the strength to sell. The likelihood that the share retraces is high. If a share is printing a large bearish (red) candlestick following an extended move to the downside, use the weakness to start a long position. The likelihood that the share rebounds is high. Trade in the direction of the 20-day moving average, using the MA as a level to enter as well as a hard break thereof as a trailing stop-loss. The 8 and 21-day moving averages often act as support and resistance levels. When they are turning down, use them as levels to sell into. The opposite applies when they are turning up. The first back-test and undercut of the 50/75-day exponential moving average range has a high probability of holding as support or resistance. Buy or sell it for a 1-3 day move to generate cash flow. Stocks above a rising 200-day moving average spend the majority of their time trending higher. The opposite applies when the 200-day is trending down. Previous support can turn into resistance and previous resistance can turn to support. Use these zones as levels to trade against. Support and resistance levels and key moving averages are ranges rather than exact levels. They often overshoot these zones before occasionally reversing at these levels. Respect the FIB (Fibonacco) retracement zones. They often act as support and resistance levels. ‘PAY-tience Pays’, however be nimble to react to opportunity to cut when a trade hasn’t been working. Above all, know your time horizon . Lester Davids Senior Investment Analyst: Unum Capital

Research Notes February 2026 > https://www.unum.capital/post/rfeb2026 Trade   Local & Global Financial Markets with Unum Capital. To get started, email   tradingdesk@unum.co.za Published: Pre-Market, Thursday, 05 February 2026. The data is based on the DAILY TIME FRAME and is subject to change based on the subsequent news flow and price action. Note: This analysis may differ from the analysis which is based on the Weekly and Monthly time frames. Lester Davids Senior Investment Analyst: Unum Capital

Research Notes February 2026 > https://www.unum.capital/post/rfeb2026 Trade   Local & Global Financial Markets with Unum Capital. To get started, email   tradingdesk@unum.co.za At today's high, the share was higher by 56% from trigger at R527, printing above R800. Now, caution as the price is trading near overbought conditions. Medium term traders should consider reducing into strength. Trading Notes/Resources (Where Applicable) READY TO TRADE: ACTIONABLE AREAS:  For active traders who look to generate cash flow on a continuous basis, determining the ‘next best probability’ level to execute against may be of immense value.   The blue and red  horizontal lines on the chart  represent a next best probability buy re-entry range and a next best probability sell re-entry range  over the short term. The ranges assume no existing position being held by a trader while the probabilities are based on several factors which may include: short term rating, medium term regime, momentum, horizontal or diagonal support/resistance, candle structure, moving averages and standard deviation, among others. These are short term levels and may be in contrast to medium and long term outlooks which are based on the weekly and monthly charts and, which may be applicable to long term investors. These levels are subject to change  based on sentiment, the subsequent price action and company/sector specific or macro news flow. As always, while the levels are outlined, traders should be prepared to adjust in real-time  based on the aforementioned. "Strategy Alerts"  help clients identify trading opportunities . When a ticker's real-time or pre-market price action aligns with the criteria on a slide—such as a pullback to the 21-day EMA or a breakout from a consolidation base—it effectively "matches" that stock to the strategy, triggering an alert to a potential trading opportunity.  This approach transforms the playbook into a dynamic scanning tool, allowing you to instantly categorize active stocks by the specific technical thesis playing out , ensuring that every trading potential opportunity communicated is backed by a predefined, actionable setup. THE TACTICAL TRADING GUIDE (PRICE ACTION MODEL) :  UNCOVER OPPORTUNITIES & ASSESS REWARD-TO-RISK It helps helps clients determine and shed light on the some of the following: The CURRENT TECHNICAL POSITION  and a PRICE ACTION PROBABILITY  for multiple time frames. Three (3) ‘trading’ time frames are considered: Short Term (1 to 10 days) / Medium Term (2 to 4 weeks) and Long Term (5 to 8 weeks) Whether the reward-to-risk is attractive for a buy/long position Whether a share is weak. In this case, wait until the price stabilizes before looking to enter (i.e. want until it stops going down) Whether aggressive buying is underway. In this case, do not ‘chase’ (do not buy) but instead wait for a pullback to re-enter a buy or an overextension with deteriorating candle structure to sell/short. Whether a trader can look to buy a pullback into a key moving average (continuation trade) Whether a share needs to break a range for a new trend to be determined (bullish or bearish) Whether a traders needs to monitor for a change of character that could lead to a bullish or bearish reversal Whether a share could start a consolidation phase or before continuing it’s bullish or bearish trend Whether the upward momentum is slowing (if it's in a bullish phase) Whether buyers can look to 'phase in' to a position (if it's in a bearish phase) Whether a share lacks directional bias. The data set is available in real-time (on request) The readings are subject to change as the price action develops. Lester Davids Senior Investment Analyst: Unum Capital

Research Notes February 2026 > https://www.unum.capital/post/rfeb2026 Trade   Local & Global Financial Markets with Unum Capital. To get started, email   tradingdesk@unum.co.za Published: Tuesday, 04 February 2026 Time: 11h12 Buy at £ 4.77 or lower Stop-loss: £ 4.15 Target(s): £ 5.70 Code: BP Lester Davids Senior Investment Analyst: Unum Capital

Research Notes February 2026 > https://www.unum.capital/post/rfeb2026 Trade   Local & Global Financial Markets with Unum Capital. To get started, email   tradingdesk@unum.co.za On Sunday 31 August, we asked the following question: 'Are You Positioned For The Move In Energy?' Since then, Energy has been the #1 Performing Sector (out of 11 S&P sectors). See the performance chart that follows: Previous Post (31 August 2025): Are You Positioned For The Move In Energy? Previous Post (Friday, 22 August): 🎥Watch: iShares Global Energy ETF (IXC) Lester Davids Senior Investment Analyst: Unum Capital

Research Notes February 2026 > https://www.unum.capital/post/rfeb2026 Trade   Local & Global Financial Markets with Unum Capital. To get started, email   tradingdesk@unum.co.za Published: Pre-Market, Wednesday, 04 February 2026. The data is based on the DAILY TIME FRAME and is subject to change based on the subsequent news flow and price action. Note: This analysis may differ from the analysis which is based on the Weekly and Monthly time frames. Lester Davids Senior Investment Analyst: Unum Capital

Research Notes February 2026 > https://www.unum.capital/post/rfeb2026 Trade   Local & Global Financial Markets with Unum Capital. To get started, email   tradingdesk@unum.co.za Published: Pre-Market, Wednesday, 04 February 2026. The data is based on the DAILY TIME FRAME and is subject to change based on the subsequent news flow and price action. Note: This analysis may differ from the analysis which is based on the Weekly and Monthly time frames. This is premium data and is available to active trading clients who have traded in the past 7 trading sessions. Lester Davids Senior Investment Analyst: Unum Capital

Research Notes February 2026 > https://www.unum.capital/post/rfeb2026 Trade   Local & Global Financial Markets with Unum Capital. To get started, email   tradingdesk@unum.co.za Published: Tuesday, 03 February 2026 Time: 20h50 (US Trading Session, South African Time) The screener reveals a market characterized by aggressive defensiveness . Professional capital is rotating out of high-beta Growth and into “boring” factors like Low Volatility and Value , but doing so with significant velocity. While the assets are defensive, the behavior is aggressive: traders are chasing price strength in safety sectors rather than speculating on tech. The dominant trade is a bet on the “forgotten middle” (Mid-Caps) and interest-rate sensitivity (Homebuilders), signaling a belief in a soft landing where the average stock outperforms the index giants. Size Factors 📏 Small Cap 🐜: High Conviction. The presence of multiple dedicated Small Cap funds (SMLV, XSLV, IJR, SPSM, VIOO, XJR) indicates that risk appetite has broadened significantly beyond the mega-caps. Traders are stepping down the market cap ladder to find alpha. Mid Cap ⚖️: Dominant. This is the strongest cluster in your screen (RFV, RWK, MDYV, IVOV, XMLV, CZA). The market is treating Mid Caps as the “Goldilocks” trade—offering better valuation than Large Caps but more stability than Small Caps. Large Cap 🐳: Muted / Selective. Broad market-cap-weighted Large Cap exposure is notably absent. It only appears when filtered through specific factors like Low Volatility (LGLV, SPLV) or Equal Weighting (RSPS). The “Magnificent Seven” trade is not powering this specific momentum screen. Style Factors 🎨 Value 🏷️: Leading. Value is explicitly driving momentum (RFV, MDYV, PEY, RDIV). The market is rewarding low multiples and fundamental valuation over speculative future earnings. Quality 💎: Implicit Support. While “Quality” isn’t the primary label, the presence of “Dividend Achievers” (PEY) and S&P 600/400 indices (which have strict earnings eligibility rules) suggests a bias toward profitable, established companies rather than speculative junk. Growth 🚀: Absent. There is a stark lack of “Pure Growth” or “Momentum” (in the traditional factor sense) ETFs. Growth stocks are currently failing to meet your momentum tier criteria relative to their Value counterparts. Momentum 🌊: The Paradox. This is a momentum screener, but it is not picking up “Momentum Factor” ETFs. Instead, it reveals that Value and Low Volatility are the current Momentum trade. The technical strength has rotated into defensive sectors. Risk & Yield Factors ⚠️ Low Volatility 🛡️: The “Screaming” Signal. This is the most crowded factor in the list (SPLV, SMLV, XMLV, LGLV, ACWV, XSLV). It signals a massive “Flight to Safety” within equities. Pros are participating in the upside but are terrified of drawdowns. High Yield / Dividend 💰: Strong Bid. Funds like PEY, SPYD, and RDIV show that total return (price + yield) is the current focus. This often correlates with a defensive posture or a play on peaking interest rates. Profitability 📊: Positive. The screen filters out non-earners by heavily favoring indices (S&P 400/600) that require trailing profitability for inclusion. Liquidity 💧: High. The screen is populated by highly liquid, standard-issue ETFs (Invesco, SPDR, iShares). Professional flows are staying in vehicles where entry and exit are easy; they are not venturing into obscure, illiquid corners yet. Carry 🎒: Active. The strong showing of High Yield and Dividend Achievers suggests institutional money is hunting for carry (yield) as a substitute for fixed income. Thematic & Sector Factors 🏗️ Defensive 🏰: High. Between Low Volatility and Consumer Staples (RSPS), the defensive posturing is aggressive. Cyclical 🔄: Interest-Rate Dependent. The cyclical exposure is very specific: Homebuilders (ITB, XHB) and Consumer Discretionary (RSPD). These are interest-rate sensitive cyclicals, likely front-running a dovish Fed policy. ESG 🌿: Niche. Only one explicit ESG fund (XJR) appears. ESG is not a primary driver of current momentum flows. Multi-Factor 🧩: The Winning Strategy. The strongest signals come from combined factors: “Small Cap + Low Volatility” (SMLV) or “Mid Cap + Value” (MDYV). The market is rewarding specific intersections of style and size rather than broad beta. Investment Factors 🏭 Investment (Capex) 🏗️: Sector Specific. The strength in Homebuilders (ITB, XHB) and Water (CGW) implies a belief in continued infrastructure or residential investment, despite the defensive tone elsewhere. Note: This screener is subject to change as the news flow and the price action develops. Lester Davids Senior Investment Analyst: Unum Capital

Research Notes February 2026 > https://www.unum.capital/post/rfeb2026 Trade   Local & Global Financial Markets with Unum Capital. To get started, email   tradingdesk@unum.co.za Short term traders, consider taking partial or full profits. Previous Post (07 January 2026): OUTsurance: Early Buy Trigger. Lower Levels Expected Before Oversold Rebound Analyst's Price Action Model Technical Take: Outsurance (OUT, 6828c) Date:  Wednesday, January 7, 2026 Regime:  Oversold / Capitulation Watch Primary Outlook:  At or approaching buy/add Executive Summary Outsurance is currently experiencing a "Very Bearish" phase characterized by aggressive selling. However, the selling pressure has reached an extreme, pushing the 7-day trend into "Oversold" territory. This creates a high-probability setup for a mean reversion bounce. The model explicitly notes that the risk/reward is shifting in favor of a long position, not as a trend resumption, but as a tactical snap-back trade. Detailed Trend Analysis 1. Short-Term Dynamics (1 - 10 Days) 7-Day Trend:  Oversold 14-Day Trend:  Very Bearish Outlook:  Reward-to-Risk Becoming Attractive. Analysis:  The elastic band is stretched to the downside. The specific guidance states: "The reward-to-risk is becoming attractive for a small buy/long position."  This is a counter-trend signal indicating that the selling climax may be near. 2. Medium-Term Structure (2 - 4 Weeks) Status:  Aggressive Selling Analysis:  While the short term offers a bounce opportunity, the medium term remains hazardous. The instruction is to "Wait For Lower Time Frames To Stabilize."  This implies that while a trade is emerging, one should not be too aggressive until a floor is clearly established. 3. Long-Term Trajectory (5 - 8 Weeks) Status:  Aggressive Selling (Hunt for Support) Analysis:  The stock has broken its steady upward trend. The focus now is on "Looking For Support At Prior Swing Lows To Capture Minor Rebounds."  This confirms that any buying here is for a "minor rebound" trade, not necessarily a return to all-time highs. Strategic Action Plan Primary Strategy:   Tactical Bounce (Mean Reversion). The Setup:  The stock is oversold. The Trigger:  Look for a stabilization or reversal candle at "Prior Swing Lows." The Trade:  Initiate a small long position  to capture the snap-back. Risk Management:  Keep stops tight. Since the 14-day trend is "Very Bearish," if the bounce fails, the downside could open up further. This is a trade for agility, not investment. Trading Notes/Resources (Where Applicable) READY TO TRADE: ACTIONABLE AREAS:  For active traders who look to generate cash flow on a continuous basis, determining the ‘next best probability’ level to execute against may be of immense value.  The blue and red  horizontal lines on the chart  represent a next best probability buy re-entry range and a next best probability sell re-entry range  over the short term. The ranges assume no existing position being held by a trader while the probabilities are based on several factors which may include: short term rating, medium term regime, momentum, horizontal or diagonal support/resistance, candle structure, moving averages and standard deviation, among others. These are short term levels and may be in contrast to medium and long term outlooks which are based on the weekly and monthly charts and, which may be applicable to long term investors. These levels are subject to change  based on sentiment, the subsequent price action and company/sector specific or macro news flow. As always, while the levels are outlined, traders should be prepared to adjust in real-time  based on the aforementioned. "Strategy Alerts"  help clients identify trading opportunities . When a ticker's real-time or pre-market price action aligns with the criteria on a slide—such as a pullback to the 21-day EMA or a breakout from a consolidation base—it effectively "matches" that stock to the strategy, triggering an alert to a potential trading opportunity.  This approach transforms the playbook into a dynamic scanning tool, allowing you to instantly categorize active stocks by the specific technical thesis playing out , ensuring that every trading potential opportunity communicated is backed by a predefined, actionable setup. THE TACTICAL TRADING GUIDE (PRICE ACTION MODEL) :  UNCOVER OPPORTUNITIES & ASSESS REWARD-TO-RISK It helps helps clients determine and shed light on the some of the following: The CURRENT TECHNICAL POSITION  and a PRICE ACTION PROBABILITY  for multiple time frames. Three (3) ‘trading’ time frames are considered: Short Term (1 to 10 days) / Medium Term (2 to 4 weeks) and Long Term (5 to 8 weeks) Whether the reward-to-risk is attractive for a buy/long position Whether a share is weak. In this case, wait until the price stabilizes before looking to enter (i.e. want until it stops going down) Whether aggressive buying is underway. In this case, do not ‘chase’ (do not buy) but instead wait for a pullback to re-enter a buy or an overextension with deteriorating candle structure to sell/short. Whether a trader can look to buy a pullback into a key moving average (continuation trade) Whether a share needs to break a range for a new trend to be determined (bullish or bearish) Whether a traders needs to monitor for a change of character that could lead to a bullish or bearish reversal Whether a share could start a consolidation phase or before continuing it’s bullish or bearish trend Whether the upward momentum is slowing (if it's in a bullish phase) Whether buyers can look to 'phase in' to a position (if it's in a bearish phase) Whether a share lacks directional bias. The data set is available in real-time (on request) The readings are subject to change as the price action develops. TRADING TIP # 1 Let The Candle Confirm   Out of all those available, Candlestick Charts are the most widely used when it comes to analyzing price from a technical perspective.  The interpretation thereof helps traders to understand the interaction between market participants and informs who is in control between buyers and sellers. Various types of candle formation convey key information about the range of outcomes for a share for example, following a downward trend, a long lower tail, doji, piercing or bullish engulfing suggests that buyers have started to become active/started to take an interest while following an upward trend, a long upper tail, doji, dark cloud cover or bearish engulfing suggests that sellers have started to become active/started to take an interest. While information is conveyed pre-market, it is the intraday price action that will confirm any trade or opportunity. While we have a plan, we are also ready to switch gears as the price action develops. TRADING TIP # 2: Failure & Reclaim FAILURE to hold a prior session high/range  high may signal that the upside momentum is slowing and that an opportunity to short/sell may be at hand. This is often reflected via a deteriorating candle structure which suggests that sellers are starting to take control. Examples of such candles are long upper tails, doji's, dark cloud covers, bearish engulfing candles etc. RECLAIMING a prior session low/range  may signal that the downside momentum is slowing and that an opportunity to buy may be at hand. This is often reflected via a improving candle structure which suggests that buyers have started to enter and are looking to take control of the price action. Examples of such candles are long lower tails, doji's, piercing candles, bullish engulfing candles etc. TRADING TIP # 3: Take Note of the 'Igniting Bar'   This is a large green or red candle which suggests that traders should: TAKE NOTE  note of the change in characters and potential change of the trend. TAKE NOTE  of a potential acceleration of the trend. TAKE NOTE  of potentially aggressive buy or selling Often, BIG MOVES start with BIG MOVES. Core Trading Principles: Short and Medium Term Trade with the primary trend. Volume Matters. This represents the interest of large institutional investors who have the ability to move a share, both up and down. Do not short/sell a share that is above, and in close proximity to it’s rising 8 and 21-day moving averages. This trend can persist for an extended period. Ultra short term traders, if a share has advanced strongly over a 3-7 day period, book profits. You can always re-enter and do the same trade at lower levels. If a share is printing a large bullish (green) candlestick following an extended move, use the strength to sell. The likelihood that the share retraces is high. If a share is printing a large bearish (red) candlestick following an extended move to the downside, use the weakness to start a long position. The likelihood that the share rebounds is high. Trade in the direction of the 20-day moving average, using the MA as a level to enter as well as a hard break thereof as a trailing stop-loss. The 8 and 21-day moving averages often act as support and resistance levels. When they are turning down, use them as levels to sell into. The opposite applies when they are turning up. The first back-test and undercut of the 50/75-day exponential moving average range has a high probability of holding as support or resistance. Buy or sell it for a 1-3 day move to generate cash flow. Stocks above a rising 200-day moving average spend the majority of their time trending higher. The opposite applies when the 200-day is trending down. Previous support can turn into resistance and previous resistance can turn to support. Use these zones as levels to trade against. Support and resistance levels and key moving averages are ranges rather than exact levels. They often overshoot these zones before occasionally reversing at these levels. Respect the FIB (Fibonacco) retracement zones. They often act as support and resistance levels. ‘PAY-tience Pays’, however be nimble to react to opportunity to cut when a trade hasn’t been working. Above all, know your time horizon . Lester Davids Senior Investment Analyst: Unum Capital

Research Notes February 2026 > https://www.unum.capital/post/rfeb2026 Trade   Local & Global Financial Markets with Unum Capital. To get started, email   tradingdesk@unum.co.za Buy PRX into the buy re-entry range (87616c - 90584c) Target: 97000c Stop-loss: 83000c Lower levels expected before short term rebound. High Risk Idea therefore smaller than average position are applicable. Reward-to-Risk Becoming Appealing For An Oversold Rebound. Massive pullback since our 30-September note! Analyst's Price Action Model: Prosus (PRX): Daily Chart: Execution Range (Primary Action) Trading Notes/Resources (Where Applicable) READY TO TRADE: ACTIONABLE AREAS:  For active traders who look to generate cash flow on a continuous basis, determining the ‘next best probability’ level to execute against may be of immense value.   The blue and red  horizontal lines on the chart  represent a next best probability buy re-entry range and a next best probability sell re-entry range  over the short term. The ranges assume no existing position being held by a trader while the probabilities are based on several factors which may include: short term rating, medium term regime, momentum, horizontal or diagonal support/resistance, candle structure, moving averages and standard deviation, among others. These are short term levels and may be in contrast to medium and long term outlooks which are based on the weekly and monthly charts and, which may be applicable to long term investors. These levels are subject to change  based on sentiment, the subsequent price action and company/sector specific or macro news flow. As always, while the levels are outlined, traders should be prepared to adjust in real-time  based on the aforementioned. "Strategy Alerts"  help clients identify trading opportunities . When a ticker's real-time or pre-market price action aligns with the criteria on a slide—such as a pullback to the 21-day EMA or a breakout from a consolidation base—it effectively "matches" that stock to the strategy, triggering an alert to a potential trading opportunity.  This approach transforms the playbook into a dynamic scanning tool, allowing you to instantly categorize active stocks by the specific technical thesis playing out , ensuring that every trading potential opportunity communicated is backed by a predefined, actionable setup. THE TACTICAL TRADING GUIDE (PRICE ACTION MODEL) :  UNCOVER OPPORTUNITIES & ASSESS REWARD-TO-RISK It helps helps clients determine and shed light on the some of the following: The CURRENT TECHNICAL POSITION  and a PRICE ACTION PROBABILITY  for multiple time frames. Three (3) ‘trading’ time frames are considered: Short Term (1 to 10 days) / Medium Term (2 to 4 weeks) and Long Term (5 to 8 weeks) Whether the reward-to-risk is attractive for a buy/long position Whether a share is weak. In this case, wait until the price stabilizes before looking to enter (i.e. want until it stops going down) Whether aggressive buying is underway. In this case, do not ‘chase’ (do not buy) but instead wait for a pullback to re-enter a buy or an overextension with deteriorating candle structure to sell/short. Whether a trader can look to buy a pullback into a key moving average (continuation trade) Whether a share needs to break a range for a new trend to be determined (bullish or bearish) Whether a traders needs to monitor for a change of character that could lead to a bullish or bearish reversal Whether a share could start a consolidation phase or before continuing it’s bullish or bearish trend Whether the upward momentum is slowing (if it's in a bullish phase) Whether buyers can look to 'phase in' to a position (if it's in a bearish phase) Whether a share lacks directional bias. The data set is available in real-time (on request) The readings are subject to change as the price action develops. Lester Davids Senior Investment Analyst: Unum Capital

Research Notes February 2026 > https://www.unum.capital/post/rfeb2026 Trade   Local & Global Financial Markets with Unum Capital. To get started, email   tradingdesk@unum.co.za Well done to clients who took the opportunity to trade. Previous Post (Monday, 02 February 2026): Take Profit on Spot Gold: Early Gains (+$300 or +6.7%) Gold traded into our buy re-entry range and rebounded +6.7% or +$300. Previous Post (Sunday 01 February 2026) Trading Spot Gold: Buy Re-Entry Range Trading Notes/Resources (Where Applicable) READY TO TRADE: ACTIONABLE AREAS:  For active traders who look to generate cash flow on a continuous basis, determining the ‘next best probability’ level to execute against may be of immense value.  The blue and red  horizontal lines on the chart  represent a next best probability buy re-entry range and a next best probability sell re-entry range  over the short term. The ranges assume no existing position being held by a trader while the probabilities are based on several factors which may include: short term rating, medium term regime, momentum, horizontal or diagonal support/resistance, candle structure, moving averages and standard deviation, among others. These are short term levels and may be in contrast to medium and long term outlooks which are based on the weekly and monthly charts and, which may be applicable to long term investors. These levels are subject to change  based on sentiment, the subsequent price action and company/sector specific or macro news flow. As always, while the levels are outlined, traders should be prepared to adjust in real-time  based on the aforementioned. "Strategy Alerts"  help clients identify trading opportunities . When a ticker's real-time or pre-market price action aligns with the criteria on a slide—such as a pullback to the 21-day EMA or a breakout from a consolidation base—it effectively "matches" that stock to the strategy, triggering an alert to a potential trading opportunity.  This approach transforms the playbook into a dynamic scanning tool, allowing you to instantly categorize active stocks by the specific technical thesis playing out , ensuring that every trading potential opportunity communicated is backed by a predefined, actionable setup. THE TACTICAL TRADING GUIDE (PRICE ACTION MODEL) :  UNCOVER OPPORTUNITIES & ASSESS REWARD-TO-RISK It helps helps clients determine and shed light on the some of the following: The CURRENT TECHNICAL POSITION  and a PRICE ACTION PROBABILITY  for multiple time frames. Three (3) ‘trading’ time frames are considered: Short Term (1 to 10 days) / Medium Term (2 to 4 weeks) and Long Term (5 to 8 weeks) Whether the reward-to-risk is attractive for a buy/long position Whether a share is weak. In this case, wait until the price stabilizes before looking to enter (i.e. want until it stops going down) Whether aggressive buying is underway. In this case, do not ‘chase’ (do not buy) but instead wait for a pullback to re-enter a buy or an overextension with deteriorating candle structure to sell/short. Whether a trader can look to buy a pullback into a key moving average (continuation trade) Whether a share needs to break a range for a new trend to be determined (bullish or bearish) Whether a traders needs to monitor for a change of character that could lead to a bullish or bearish reversal Whether a share could start a consolidation phase or before continuing it’s bullish or bearish trend Whether the upward momentum is slowing (if it's in a bullish phase) Whether buyers can look to 'phase in' to a position (if it's in a bearish phase) Whether a share lacks directional bias. The data set is available in real-time (on request) The readings are subject to change as the price action develops. TRADING TIP # 1 Let The Candle Confirm   Out of all those available, Candlestick Charts are the most widely used when it comes to analyzing price from a technical perspective.  The interpretation thereof helps traders to understand the interaction between market participants and informs who is in control between buyers and sellers. Various types of candle formation convey key information about the range of outcomes for a share for example, following a downward trend, a long lower tail, doji, piercing or bullish engulfing suggests that buyers have started to become active/started to take an interest while following an upward trend, a long upper tail, doji, dark cloud cover or bearish engulfing suggests that sellers have started to become active/started to take an interest. While information is conveyed pre-market, it is the intraday price action that will confirm any trade or opportunity. While we have a plan, we are also ready to switch gears as the price action develops. TRADING TIP # 2: Failure & Reclaim FAILURE to hold a prior session high/range  high may signal that the upside momentum is slowing and that an opportunity to short/sell may be at hand. This is often reflected via a deteriorating candle structure which suggests that sellers are starting to take control. Examples of such candles are long upper tails, doji's, dark cloud covers, bearish engulfing candles etc. RECLAIMING a prior session low/range  may signal that the downside momentum is slowing and that an opportunity to buy may be at hand. This is often reflected via a improving candle structure which suggests that buyers have started to enter and are looking to take control of the price action. Examples of such candles are long lower tails, doji's, piercing candles, bullish engulfing candles etc. TRADING TIP # 3: Take Note of the 'Igniting Bar'   This is a large green or red candle which suggests that traders should: TAKE NOTE  note of the change in characters and potential change of the trend. TAKE NOTE  of a potential acceleration of the trend. TAKE NOTE  of potentially aggressive buy or selling Often, BIG MOVES start with BIG MOVES. Core Trading Principles: Short and Medium Term Trade with the primary trend. Volume Matters. This represents the interest of large institutional investors who have the ability to move a share, both up and down. Do not short/sell a share that is above, and in close proximity to it’s rising 8 and 21-day moving averages. This trend can persist for an extended period. Ultra short term traders, if a share has advanced strongly over a 3-7 day period, book profits. You can always re-enter and do the same trade at lower levels. If a share is printing a large bullish (green) candlestick following an extended move, use the strength to sell. The likelihood that the share retraces is high. If a share is printing a large bearish (red) candlestick following an extended move to the downside, use the weakness to start a long position. The likelihood that the share rebounds is high. Trade in the direction of the 20-day moving average, using the MA as a level to enter as well as a hard break thereof as a trailing stop-loss. The 8 and 21-day moving averages often act as support and resistance levels. When they are turning down, use them as levels to sell into. The opposite applies when they are turning up. The first back-test and undercut of the 50/75-day exponential moving average range has a high probability of holding as support or resistance. Buy or sell it for a 1-3 day move to generate cash flow. Stocks above a rising 200-day moving average spend the majority of their time trending higher. The opposite applies when the 200-day is trending down. Previous support can turn into resistance and previous resistance can turn to support. Use these zones as levels to trade against. Support and resistance levels and key moving averages are ranges rather than exact levels. They often overshoot these zones before occasionally reversing at these levels. Respect the FIB (Fibonacco) retracement zones. They often act as support and resistance levels. ‘PAY-tience Pays’, however be nimble to react to opportunity to cut when a trade hasn’t been working. Above all, know your time horizon . Lester Davids Senior Investment Analyst: Unum Capital