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Research Notes For 30 June to 04 July > https://www.unum.capital/post/r3004july Trade   Local & Global Financial Markets with Unum Capital. To get started, email   tradingdesk@unum.co.za Lester Davids Senior Investment Analyst: Unum Capital

Research Notes For 30 June to 04 July > https://www.unum.capital/post/r3004july Trade   Local & Global Financial Markets with Unum Capital. To get started, email   tradingdesk@unum.co.za Click on the image to enlarge. Readings as of the close of trade on Monday 30 June. These are subject to change as the price action develops. Short Term (approximately 1 to 10 days) Medium Term (approximately 2 to 4 weeks) Long Term (approximately 5 to 8 weeks) Lester Davids Senior Investment Analyst: Unum Capital

Research Notes For 30 June to 04 July > https://www.unum.capital/post/r3004july Trade   Local & Global Financial Markets with Unum Capital. To get started, email   tradingdesk@unum.co.za As of 30 June 2025, The price action model for Spot Gold presents a layered and cautious outlook. Current State:  Gold is in a state of consolidation ( Rangebound ) with an underlying bearish bias ( Weak ). Short-Term Outlook:  The path of least resistance is sideways. A bullish reversal requires a confirmed breakout above the current range, driven by strong buying interest. Medium-Term Outlook:  The prior uptrend is losing steam. The recommended tactical approach is to sell into strength, targeting key moving average levels as likely points of failure for any rallies. Long-Term Outlook:  There is significant uncertainty, and the model advises against taking a strong directional stance over a multi-month horizon. In summary, the model signals a period of indecision and potential topping for Spot Gold. It advises traders to be patient, favoring short-selling opportunities on rallies in the medium term, while waiting for a decisive breakout of the current range before considering new long positions. The lack of a long-term signal underscores the need for caution. Lester Davids Senior Investment Analyst: Unum Capital

Research Notes For 30 June to 04 July > https://www.unum.capital/post/r3004july Trade   Local & Global Financial Markets with Unum Capital. To get started, email   tradingdesk@unum.co.za Share Code: CRWD Sector: Cybersecurity No, we did not catch the exact bottom. It's not about that, it's about assessing reward-to-risk and weighing the probability of outcomes. Well done to clients who took capitalized on the opportunity.   Original Post at $229, Published Here On 30 July:   https://www.unum.capital/post/u-s-trading-session-crowdstrike-holdings-crwd-here-s-what-the-data-says-tuesday-30-july-2024 To trade global equities, you will need an offshore account. To get started, contact the Unum Capital Trading Desk today. E-MAIL: tradingdesk@unum.co.za| CALL:011 384 2923 Lester Davids Analyst: Unum Capital Previous Post: CrowdStrike: Strong Rebound Off Tactical Trigger - Wednesday, 21 August 2024 Real-Time: 21h35 Ticker: CRWD Short Term Traders Could Look To Take Profit Real-Time: 18h46 Amidst the sharp sell-off, here's what the data says: ABOUT THE TACTICAL TRADING GUIDE: Technology + Proprietary Insights has helped to develop automated tools and strategies that   are used to identify potential trading opportunities as well as highlight potentially significant technical developments across various time frames. This page highlights readings from our Tactical Trading Guide (Price Action Tool) which   is also available as a live tool via the telegram group. The tool provides automated price analysis for any tradeable instrument across 3 time frames : short (short term), medium (medium term) and long (long term). Readings are subject to change , based on the development of the subsequent price action. The tool helps to determine and shed light on the some of the following: Whether the reward-to-risk is attractive for a buy/long position? Whether a share is weak or if aggressive buying is underway Whether a trader can look to buy a pullback into a key moving average (continuation trade) Whether a share needs to break a range for a new trend to be determined (bullish or bearish) Whether a traders needs to monitor for a change of character that could lead to a bullish or bearish reversal Whether a share could start a consolidation phase Whether the upward momentum is slowing (if it's in a bullish phase) Whether buyers can look to 'phase in' to a position (if it's in a bearish phase) Whether a share lacks directional bias Lester Davids Analyst: Unum Capital

Research Notes For 30 June to 04 July > https://www.unum.capital/post/r3004july Trade   Local & Global Financial Markets with Unum Capital. To get started, email   tradingdesk@unum.co.za Current price action model and analysis: Lester Davids Senior Investment Analyst: Unum Capital

Research Notes For 30 June to 04 July > https://www.unum.capital/post/r3004july Trade   Local & Global Financial Markets with Unum Capital. To get started, email   tradingdesk@unum.co.za The share traded as high as 39% from our buy idea into 72500c. Recent high above R1000. Current price action model and analysis: Lester Davids Senior Investment Analyst: Unum Capital

Research Notes For 30 June to 04 July > https://www.unum.capital/post/r3004july Trade   Local & Global Financial Markets with Unum Capital. To get started, email   tradingdesk@unum.co.za Long term target = $133 Stop-loss = a weekly close below $90 Last close = $106 Lester Davids Senior Investment Analyst: Unum Capital

Research Notes For 30 June to 04 July > https://www.unum.capital/post/r3004july Trade   Local & Global Financial Markets with Unum Capital. To get started, email   tradingdesk@unum.co.za Long term target = $70 Stop-loss = a weekly close below $50 Last close = $56.75 Lester Davids Senior Investment Analyst: Unum Capital

Research Notes For 30 June to 04 July > https://www.unum.capital/post/r3004july Trade   Local & Global Financial Markets with Unum Capital. To get started, email   tradingdesk@unum.co.za Viking Holdings Ltd engages in the passenger shipping and other forms of passenger transport in North America, the United Kingdom, and internationally. Buy on pullbacks Target: $65 Stop-loss = a weekly close below $45 Last close: $52.72 Lester Davids Senior Investment Analyst: Unum Capital

Research Notes For 30 June to 04 July > https://www.unum.capital/post/r3004july Trade   Local & Global Financial Markets with Unum Capital. To get started, email   tradingdesk@unum.co.za Lester Davids Senior Investment Analyst: unum Capital

Research Notes For 30 June to 04 July > https://www.unum.capital/post/r3004july Trade   Local & Global Financial Markets with Unum Capital. To get started, email   tradingdesk@unum.co.za Previous Post (09 April): Market Risk Index: The Weekly Reading Is Worth Noting! *Weekly Time Frame* - Current *Monthly Time Frame* - Current The indicator is a custom-built risk and sentiment index, designed to assess market risk appetite, including whether sentiment is at an extreme position (i.e. excessively bullish or excessively bearish). Components: Copper: Copper often serves as a proxy for global economic activity. A decline in copper prices could signal slowing economic growth, increasing risk. High Beta vs Low Beta: High beta stocks tend to be more volatile than low beta stocks. A widening spread between high and low beta returns might indicate increased risk aversion. Growth vs Value: Growth stocks typically outperform value stocks in bull markets. A shift towards value stocks could suggest investors are becoming more cautious. EM Currencies: Emerging market currencies can be sensitive to risk appetite. A weakening of EM currencies could signal increased risk aversion. AUD/USD: The Australian Dollar is often used as a proxy for global risk sentiment. A decline in AUD/USD could indicate increased risk aversion. Consumer Staples vs Consumer Discretionary: Consumer staples are generally considered defensive assets. A shift towards consumer staples could suggest investors are seeking safety. Semiconductors vs S&P 500: The semiconductor sector is cyclical and sensitive to economic downturns. Underperformance of semiconductors relative to the broader market could signal increased risk. Russell 2000 ETF: This ETF tracks small-cap stocks, which are generally considered riskier than large-cap stocks. Underperformance of the Russell 2000 could suggest increased risk aversion. U.S. Dollar Index (Inverse): A strengthening US Dollar often signals a flight to safety, suggesting increased risk aversion.

Research Notes For 30 June to 04 July > https://www.unum.capital/post/r3004july Trade   Local & Global Financial Markets with Unum Capital. To get started, email   tradingdesk@unum.co.za Previous Post (10 June): Trading Reinet Investments: A Familiar Consolidation In February at R474, we discussed RNI, highlighting a massive base while also stating that the share has room to run. The share recently crossed above R500 and has developed a consolidation below the highs which appears similar to the one seen in 2023 (see yellow circled area). A break above resistance opens the upper boundary of the channel (~R550) as a target. Amidst today's red, RNI, with it's relative strength caught my attention: Massive multi-month base, with a short term bull flag. Not extended, room to run. Lester Davids Senior Investment Analyst: Unum Capital