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- Exxaro Resources: Rejection vs Sell Re-Entry Range + Downside Follow-Through. Use The Depressed Levels To Take Profit
This research note is free. Please Note: When Published Intraday (JSE Equities), Prices Are Delayed By 15 Minutes. The buy re-entry range (blue shaded area) and sell re-entry range (red shaded area) has remained unchanged since we originally published this note in early July. First, we saw the buy range reached, with the rebound from that level being +16%. The sell re-entry range was reached with a rejection and strong downside follow-through of over 11%. For traders who use the range to sell, this may be a good level to lock in gains/take profit. Previous Post (08 September): Running +12%: Take Profit on This JSE Mining Share Update on Exxaro Resources: The share trade right into the buy range, giving you an opportunity to build a position. Now +12%. If you think it can continue to rebound, then hold, however, you could also consider taking profits and redeploying the gains into other opportunities. Previous Post (09 July):đĄTrade Setup: Monitoring ~R181 to ~R185 as a Buy Re-Entry Range This research note is free. Time of Note: 09h48am, Thursday 09 July 2026 Exxaro Resources (EXX) | Provisionally, ~R181 to ~R185 is a buy re-entry range. This should be both oversold and in line with the previous support. Currently R194.33. READY TO TRADE: ACTIONABLE AREAS For active traders who look to generate cash flow on a continuous basis, determining the ânext best probabilityâ level to execute against may be of immense value, specifically by helping to determine the best potential times and levels to commit capital. The blue and red horizontal shaded areas on the chart represent a next-best-probability buy re-entry range and a next-best-probability sell re-entry range over the short term. The ranges assume no existing position is being held by a trader, while the probabilities are based on several factors, which may include: Short-term ratings and medium-term regimes Momentum indicators Horizontal or diagonal support and resistance Candle structure Moving averages and standard deviation Please note that these are short-term levels and may contrast with medium- and long-term outlooks, which are based on the weekly and monthly charts and are generally more applicable to long-term investors. These levels are subject to change based on market sentiment, subsequent price action, and company/sector-specific or macroeconomic news flow. As always, while the levels are outlined to guide your capital deployment, traders should be prepared to adjust in real-time based on the aforementioned factors. THE TACTICAL TRADING GUIDE (PRICE ACTION MODEL): UNCOVER OPPORTUNITIES & ASSESS REWARD-TO-RISK It helps helps clients determine and shed light on the some of the following: The CURRENT TECHNICAL POSITION and a PRICE ACTION PROBABILITY for multiple time frames. Three (3) âtradingâ time frames are considered: Short Term (1 to 10 days) / Medium Term (2 to 4 weeks) and Long Term (5 to 8 weeks) Whether the reward-to-risk is attractive for a buy/long position Whether a share is weak. In this case, wait until the price stabilizes before looking to enter (i.e. want until it stops going down) Whether aggressive buying is underway. In this case, do not âchaseâ (do not buy) but instead wait for a pullback to re-enter a buy or an overextension with deteriorating candle structure to sell/short. Whether a trader can look to buy a pullback into a key moving average (continuation trade) Whether a share needs to break a range for a new trend to be determined (bullish or bearish) Whether a traders needs to monitor for a change of character that could lead to a bullish or bearish reversal Whether a share could start a consolidation phase or before continuing itâs bullish or bearish trend Whether the upward momentum is slowing (if it's in a bullish phase) Whether buyers can look to 'phase in' to a position (if it's in a bearish phase) Whether a share lacks directional bias. The data set is available in real-time (on request) The readings are subject to change as the price action develops. Lester Davids Senior Investment Analyst: Unum Capital
- Generating Cash: Take Profit on this JSE Platinum Miner (Short Term Traders)
This research note is free. Please Note: When Published Intraday (JSE Equities), Prices Are Delayed By 15 Minutes. Update as of Friday, 18 September at 13h11. Sibanye Stillwater: The share traded into our buy re-entry range after which it rebounded by +5% (+5.8% to today's high). If you are an ultra short term trader, then you could consider using the rebound to lock in gains. Original note at the following link > https://www.unum.capital/post/ssw0909 Previous Post (09 September): Trading Sibanye Stillwater: This note considers the best course of action for Sibanye Stillwater from current levels i.e. the next best-probability actionable areas for active traders. Disclosure: The content below has been generated using an artificial intelligence tool (based my own inputs/data). đ§ Base Case: SSW transitions into a steady, range-bound consolidation phase over the next 1 to 4 weeks to digest its recent gains. Lower-timeframe weakness caps immediate upside velocity, leading to rotational price action around current levels while higher-timeframe trends remain intact. The counter oscillates between overhead resistance and the dynamic 8-EMA / 21-EMA cushion, absorbing supply and allowing moving averages to catch up before the stock resolves into its next sustained trend move. Risks to Base Case: The ongoing consolidation could see boundaries fail prematurelyâeither via a rapid resumption of buying that bypasses the pause and pushes into overbought extremes, or via a sharp market-wide dip that slices through dynamic support faster than anticipated. Risks to Immediate Buy/Long Positions: Shorter-term momentum exhibits localized fatigue near swing highs. Bidding market prices impulsively rather than waiting for dynamic moving average tests risks buying directly into a mean-reversion retest and taking on unnecessary drawdown. Risks to Immediate Short/Sell Positions: Shorting an instrument supported by strong and very bullish higher-timeframe trends carries heavy trend-squeeze risk; any dip into the 8-EMA or 21-EMA buy zone could encounter aggressive institutional demand, trapping premature sellers. The overarching tactical posture aligns decisively with đą Buy on pullback â Pending. The explicit guidance across short-, medium-, and long-term horizons points to buyers maintaining control despite lower-timeframe softness. Rather than chasing current levels, market participants should allow near-term weakness to play out and look to accumulate selectively as price tests the dynamic 8-EMA to 21-EMA band or the prior session close. Most recently, SSW was presented as a buy/long re-entry to clients of Unum Capital and is higher by 60% vs the buy re-entry range. The original and follow-up charts are shown below. The link to the original post (Sunday 07 June) is as follows > https://www.unum.capital/post/ssw0806 SSW Before (Sunday 07 June) SSW After (Current) Lester Davids Senior Investment Analyst: Unum Capital READY TO TRADE: ACTIONABLE AREAS For active traders who look to generate cash flow on a continuous basis, determining the ânext best probabilityâ level to execute against may be of immense value, specifically by helping to determine the best potential times and levels to commit capital. The blue and red horizontal shaded areas on the chart represent a next-best-probability buy re-entry range and a next-best-probability sell re-entry range over the short term. The ranges assume no existing position is being held by a trader, while the probabilities are based on several factors, which may include: Short-term ratings and medium-term regimes Momentum indicators Horizontal or diagonal support and resistance Candle structure Moving averages and standard deviation Please note that these are short-term levels and may contrast with medium- and long-term outlooks, which are based on the weekly and monthly charts and are generally more applicable to long-term investors. These levels are subject to change based on market sentiment, subsequent price action, and company/sector-specific or macroeconomic news flow. As always, while the levels are outlined to guide your capital deployment, traders should be prepared to adjust in real-time based on the aforementioned factors. [Legendsđđ„đĄđ„đ©đ§ đ„ïž âââââ]
- Trading Standard Bank: Actionable Areas
This research note is free. Please Note: When Published Intraday (JSE Equities), Prices Are Delayed By 15 Minutes. This note considers the next-best probability actionable areas from current levels. Resources (Where Applicable) READY TO TRADE: ACTIONABLE AREAS: For active traders who look to generate cash flow on a continuous basis, determining the ânext-best probabilityâ level to execute against may be of immense value. The blue and red horizontal lines on the chart represent a next-best probability buy re-entry range and a next-best probability sell re-entry range over the short term. The ranges assume no existing position being held by a trader while the probabilities are based on several factors which may include: short term rating, medium term regime, momentum, horizontal or diagonal support/resistance, candle structure, moving averages and standard deviation, among others. These are short term levels and may be in contrast to medium and long term outlooks which are based on the weekly and monthly charts and, which may be applicable to long term investors. These levels are subject to change based on sentiment, the subsequent price action and company/sector specific or macro news flow. As always, while the levels are outlined, traders should be prepared to adjust in real-time based on the aforementioned. "Strategy Alerts" help clients identify trading opportunities. When a ticker's real-time or pre-market price action aligns with the criteria on a slideâsuch as a pullback to the 21-day EMA or a breakout from a consolidation baseâit effectively "matches" that stock to the strategy, triggering an alert to a potential trading opportunity. This approach transforms the playbook into a dynamic scanning tool, allowing you to instantly categorize active stocks by the specific technical thesis playing out, ensuring that every trading potential opportunity communicated is backed by a predefined, actionable setup. THE TACTICAL TRADING GUIDE (PRICE ACTION MODEL): UNCOVER OPPORTUNITIES & ASSESS REWARD-TO-RISK It helps helps clients determine and shed light on the some of the following: The CURRENT TECHNICAL POSITION and a PRICE ACTION PROBABILITY for multiple time frames. Three (3) âtradingâ time frames are considered: Short Term (1 to 10 days) / Medium Term (2 to 4 weeks) and Long Term (5 to 8 weeks) Whether the reward-to-risk is attractive for a buy/long position Whether a share is weak. In this case, wait until the price stabilizes before looking to enter (i.e. want until it stops going down) Whether aggressive buying is underway. In this case, do not âchaseâ (do not buy) but instead wait for a pullback to re-enter a buy or an overextension with deteriorating candle structure to sell/short. Whether a trader can look to buy a pullback into a key moving average (continuation trade) Whether a share needs to break a range for a new trend to be determined (bullish or bearish) Whether a traders needs to monitor for a change of character that could lead to a bullish or bearish reversal Whether a share could start a consolidation phase or before continuing itâs bullish or bearish trend Whether the upward momentum is slowing (if it's in a bullish phase) Whether buyers can look to 'phase in' to a position (if it's in a bearish phase) Whether a share lacks directional bias. The data set is available in real-time (on request) The readings are subject to change as the price action develops. TRADING TIP # 1 Let The Candle Confirm Out of all those available, Candlestick Charts are the most widely used when it comes to analyzing price from a technical perspective. The interpretation thereof helps traders to understand the interaction between market participants and informs who is in control between buyers and sellers. Various types of candle formation convey key information about the range of outcomes for a share for example, following a downward trend, a long lower tail, doji, piercing or bullish engulfing suggests that buyers have started to become active/started to take an interest while following an upward trend, a long upper tail, doji, dark cloud cover or bearish engulfing suggests that sellers have started to become active/started to take an interest. While information is conveyed pre-market, it is the intraday price action that will confirm any trade or opportunity. While we have a plan, we are also ready to switch gears as the price action develops. TRADING TIP # 2: Failure & Reclaim FAILURE to hold a prior session high/range high may signal that the upside momentum is slowing and that an opportunity to short/sell may be at hand. This is often reflected via a deteriorating candle structure which suggests that sellers are starting to take control. Examples of such candles are long upper tails, doji's, dark cloud covers, bearish engulfing candles etc. RECLAIMING a prior session low/range may signal that the downside momentum is slowing and that an opportunity to buy may be at hand. This is often reflected via a improving candle structure which suggests that buyers have started to enter and are looking to take control of the price action. Examples of such candles are long lower tails, doji's, piercing candles, bullish engulfing candles etc. TRADING TIP # 3: Take Note of the 'Igniting Bar' This is a large green or red candle which suggests that traders should: TAKE NOTE note of the change in characters and potential change of the trend. TAKE NOTE of a potential acceleration of the trend. TAKE NOTE of potentially aggressive buy or selling Often, BIG MOVES start with BIG MOVES. Core Trading Principles: Short and Medium Term Trade with the primary trend. Volume Matters. This represents the interest of large institutional investors who have the ability to move a share, both up and down. Do not short/sell a share that is above, and in close proximity to itâs rising 8 and 21-day moving averages. This trend can persist for an extended period. Ultra short term traders, if a share has advanced strongly over a 3-7 day period, book profits. You can always re-enter and do the same trade at lower levels. If a share is printing a large bullish (green) candlestick following an extended move, use the strength to sell. The likelihood that the share retraces is high. If a share is printing a large bearish (red) candlestick following an extended move to the downside, use the weakness to start a long position. The likelihood that the share rebounds is high. Trade in the direction of the 20-day moving average, using the MA as a level to enter as well as a hard break thereof as a trailing stop-loss. The 8 and 21-day moving averages often act as support and resistance levels. When they are turning down, use them as levels to sell into. The opposite applies when they are turning up. The first back-test and undercut of the 50/75-day exponential moving average range has a high probability of holding as support or resistance. Buy or sell it for a 1-3 day move to generate cash flow. Stocks above a rising 200-day moving average spend the majority of their time trending higher. The opposite applies when the 200-day is trending down. Previous support can turn into resistance and previous resistance can turn to support. Use these zones as levels to trade against. Support and resistance levels and key moving averages are ranges rather than exact levels. They often overshoot these zones before occasionally reversing at these levels. Respect the FIB (Fibonacco) retracement zones. They often act as support and resistance levels. âPAY-tience Paysâ, however be nimble to react to opportunity to cut when a trade hasnât been working. Above all, know your time horizon. Lester Davids Senior Investment Analyst: Unum Capital
- Trading Capitec: Actionable Areas
This research note is free. Please Note: When Published Intraday (JSE Equities), Prices Are Delayed By 15 Minutes. This note considers the next-best probability actionable areas from current levels. Resources (Where Applicable) READY TO TRADE: ACTIONABLE AREAS: For active traders who look to generate cash flow on a continuous basis, determining the ânext-best probabilityâ level to execute against may be of immense value. The blue and red horizontal lines on the chart represent a next-best probability buy re-entry range and a next-best probability sell re-entry range over the short term. The ranges assume no existing position being held by a trader while the probabilities are based on several factors which may include: short term rating, medium term regime, momentum, horizontal or diagonal support/resistance, candle structure, moving averages and standard deviation, among others. These are short term levels and may be in contrast to medium and long term outlooks which are based on the weekly and monthly charts and, which may be applicable to long term investors. These levels are subject to change based on sentiment, the subsequent price action and company/sector specific or macro news flow. As always, while the levels are outlined, traders should be prepared to adjust in real-time based on the aforementioned. "Strategy Alerts" help clients identify trading opportunities. When a ticker's real-time or pre-market price action aligns with the criteria on a slideâsuch as a pullback to the 21-day EMA or a breakout from a consolidation baseâit effectively "matches" that stock to the strategy, triggering an alert to a potential trading opportunity. This approach transforms the playbook into a dynamic scanning tool, allowing you to instantly categorize active stocks by the specific technical thesis playing out, ensuring that every trading potential opportunity communicated is backed by a predefined, actionable setup. THE TACTICAL TRADING GUIDE (PRICE ACTION MODEL): UNCOVER OPPORTUNITIES & ASSESS REWARD-TO-RISK It helps helps clients determine and shed light on the some of the following: The CURRENT TECHNICAL POSITION and a PRICE ACTION PROBABILITY for multiple time frames. Three (3) âtradingâ time frames are considered: Short Term (1 to 10 days) / Medium Term (2 to 4 weeks) and Long Term (5 to 8 weeks) Whether the reward-to-risk is attractive for a buy/long position Whether a share is weak. In this case, wait until the price stabilizes before looking to enter (i.e. want until it stops going down) Whether aggressive buying is underway. In this case, do not âchaseâ (do not buy) but instead wait for a pullback to re-enter a buy or an overextension with deteriorating candle structure to sell/short. Whether a trader can look to buy a pullback into a key moving average (continuation trade) Whether a share needs to break a range for a new trend to be determined (bullish or bearish) Whether a traders needs to monitor for a change of character that could lead to a bullish or bearish reversal Whether a share could start a consolidation phase or before continuing itâs bullish or bearish trend Whether the upward momentum is slowing (if it's in a bullish phase) Whether buyers can look to 'phase in' to a position (if it's in a bearish phase) Whether a share lacks directional bias. The data set is available in real-time (on request) The readings are subject to change as the price action develops. TRADING TIP # 1 Let The Candle Confirm Out of all those available, Candlestick Charts are the most widely used when it comes to analyzing price from a technical perspective. The interpretation thereof helps traders to understand the interaction between market participants and informs who is in control between buyers and sellers. Various types of candle formation convey key information about the range of outcomes for a share for example, following a downward trend, a long lower tail, doji, piercing or bullish engulfing suggests that buyers have started to become active/started to take an interest while following an upward trend, a long upper tail, doji, dark cloud cover or bearish engulfing suggests that sellers have started to become active/started to take an interest. While information is conveyed pre-market, it is the intraday price action that will confirm any trade or opportunity. While we have a plan, we are also ready to switch gears as the price action develops. TRADING TIP # 2: Failure & Reclaim FAILURE to hold a prior session high/range high may signal that the upside momentum is slowing and that an opportunity to short/sell may be at hand. This is often reflected via a deteriorating candle structure which suggests that sellers are starting to take control. Examples of such candles are long upper tails, doji's, dark cloud covers, bearish engulfing candles etc. RECLAIMING a prior session low/range may signal that the downside momentum is slowing and that an opportunity to buy may be at hand. This is often reflected via a improving candle structure which suggests that buyers have started to enter and are looking to take control of the price action. Examples of such candles are long lower tails, doji's, piercing candles, bullish engulfing candles etc. TRADING TIP # 3: Take Note of the 'Igniting Bar' This is a large green or red candle which suggests that traders should: TAKE NOTE note of the change in characters and potential change of the trend. TAKE NOTE of a potential acceleration of the trend. TAKE NOTE of potentially aggressive buy or selling Often, BIG MOVES start with BIG MOVES. Core Trading Principles: Short and Medium Term Trade with the primary trend. Volume Matters. This represents the interest of large institutional investors who have the ability to move a share, both up and down. Do not short/sell a share that is above, and in close proximity to itâs rising 8 and 21-day moving averages. This trend can persist for an extended period. Ultra short term traders, if a share has advanced strongly over a 3-7 day period, book profits. You can always re-enter and do the same trade at lower levels. If a share is printing a large bullish (green) candlestick following an extended move, use the strength to sell. The likelihood that the share retraces is high. If a share is printing a large bearish (red) candlestick following an extended move to the downside, use the weakness to start a long position. The likelihood that the share rebounds is high. Trade in the direction of the 20-day moving average, using the MA as a level to enter as well as a hard break thereof as a trailing stop-loss. The 8 and 21-day moving averages often act as support and resistance levels. When they are turning down, use them as levels to sell into. The opposite applies when they are turning up. The first back-test and undercut of the 50/75-day exponential moving average range has a high probability of holding as support or resistance. Buy or sell it for a 1-3 day move to generate cash flow. Stocks above a rising 200-day moving average spend the majority of their time trending higher. The opposite applies when the 200-day is trending down. Previous support can turn into resistance and previous resistance can turn to support. Use these zones as levels to trade against. Support and resistance levels and key moving averages are ranges rather than exact levels. They often overshoot these zones before occasionally reversing at these levels. Respect the FIB (Fibonacco) retracement zones. They often act as support and resistance levels. âPAY-tience Paysâ, however be nimble to react to opportunity to cut when a trade hasnât been working. Above all, know your time horizon. Lester Davids Senior Investment Analyst: Unum Capital
- Old Mutual: Running +7.3% & Approaching Target - Traders Can Consider Scaling Out/Locking In Gains. Alternatively, Raise Stops To Protect Capital
This research note is free. Please Note: When Published Intraday (JSE Equities), Prices Are Delayed By 15 Minutes. Previous Post (14 September - After-Market Close. For Wednesday 15 September): Strategy Alert: Old Mutual - Rounding Bottom, Bearish-To-Bullish Reversal "Strategy Alerts" help clients identify potential trading opportunities. When a ticker's real-time or pre-market price action aligns with a setup âsuch as a pullback to the 21-day EMA or a breakout from a consolidation baseâit effectively "matches" that stock to the strategy, triggering an alert to a potential trading opportunity. This approach transforms the playbook into a dynamic scanning tool, allowing you to instantly categorize active stocks by the specific technical thesis playing out, ensuring that every trading potential opportunity communicated is backed by a predefined, actionable setup. OMU currently matches setup #74 Lester Davids Senior Investment Analyst: Unum Capital READY TO TRADE: ACTIONABLE AREAS For active traders who look to generate cash flow on a continuous basis, determining the ânext best probabilityâ level to execute against may be of immense value, specifically by helping to determine the best potential times and levels to commit capital. The blue and red horizontal lines on the chart represent a next-best-probability buy re-entry range and a next-best-probability sell re-entry range over the short term. The ranges assume no existing position is being held by a trader, while the probabilities are based on several factors, which may include: Short-term ratings and medium-term regimes Momentum indicators Horizontal or diagonal support and resistance Candle structure Moving averages and standard deviation Please note that these are short-term levels and may contrast with medium- and long-term outlooks, which are based on the weekly and monthly charts and are generally more applicable to long-term investors. These levels are subject to change based on market sentiment, subsequent price action, and company/sector-specific or macroeconomic news flow. As always, while the levels are outlined to guide your capital deployment, traders should be prepared to adjust in real-time based on the aforementioned factors.
- USD/ZAR: Short Term Traders Consider Taking Profits (Was 15.90, Now 16.36)
This research note is free. Please Note: When Published Intraday (JSE Equities), Prices Are Delayed By 15 Minutes. Sharp, bullish reversal since our 26 August note. Original Note Here > https://www.unum.capital/post/usdzar2608 USD strengthening after the interest rate hike. Update note/comment as of 21h07 (Wednesday, 16 September). Previous Post (Friday 11 September): U.S. Dollar / South African Rand Analysis + Chart as of: Friday, 11 September at 10h07. The pair is attempting a bullish reversal, having formed a double bottom technical formation (2x low ~R15.90). The bullish reversal is also in line with the price action model which, on 26 August, stated that the pair had become attractive for a buy/long position. For now sellers (i.e. buyers of the Rand) are controlling the R16.17 to R16.20 range while a strong break above this level is would suggest that USD bulls are starting to take control. Above this level, the 75-day EMA at ~R16.26 could provide temporary resistance. Lester Davids Senior Investment Analyst: Unum Capital [Legends For Own Useđđ„đĄđ„đ©đ§ đ„ïž âââââ]
- +20% Spike: S&P 500 Volatility Index (VIX) - In The Money & Approaching Target
This research note is free. Please Note: When Published Intraday (JSE Equities), Prices Are Delayed By 15 Minutes. Chart as of 21h17 (Wednesday, 16 September) Previous Post (20 August) Buy Idea: Volatility Index: Published 12h28 (South African Time) on 20 August 2026. Key Drivers: The surge in US (and global) bond yields has not been a problem for equities however, intervention by the officials may raise cause for concern. Our technical screeners (using ETFs) reflect an extreme lack of oversold instruments and a vast number of overbought instruments S&P 500 Index +38% above it's 200-week SMA (2nd highest reading since the year 2000). In addition, a bearish distance divergence is present. 72% of S&P 500 shares trade above their 200-day simple moving averages. While this is healthy, this is at the upper boundary of a 5-year range. Volatility seasonality - nearing a period (measured over 20 years of data) where the VIX has shown historical elevation. Buy at current levels (15.15) or lower Stop-loss: 12.20 Target: 20.00 Lester Davids Senior Investment Analyst: Unum Capital
- Astral Foods: Generating Short Term Cash Flow
This research note is free. Please Note: When Published Intraday (JSE Equities), Prices Are Delayed By 15 Minutes. The share responded well to the price action model reading as it: (1) traded lower, then (2) rebounded by 7%. The blue shaded area is a best-probability buy re-entry range and makes provision for deeper than expected pullbacks. Previous Post (25 August - After Market Close): đTrading Astral Foods: Lower Levels Expected Before Tactical Rebound. See Price Action Model Published after the market close on Tuesday, 25 August for Wednesday, 26 August 2026. Availability Notice: Due to planned power/electricity interruptions (CoCT) I will not have access to my e-mail/laptop from 08h30 to 18h30 on Wednesday 26 August. The next 2 to 5 trading sessions will be crucial to determining whether the share can stabilize in order to form stage a potential turnaround. A read via the price action model reflects oversold conditions as well as a BUY rating. I am expecting lower levels before a tactical rebound. Also noted is the bullish divergence via the 14-day RSI. This bullish divergence will be confirmed upon a bullish reversal. Execute Your Trades Via The Unum Capital Trading Desk: For a decade, more than 90% of our research has been free, which means that whether you are a client or not, you can access our insights, including our trade ideas. If you have been reading our research but use another trading services provider/broker to execute the trades, why not consider moving you trading account to Unum Capital thereby routing the trades through our desk? READY TO TRADE: ACTIONABLE AREAS For active traders who look to generate cash flow on a continuous basis, determining the ânext best probabilityâ level to execute against may be of immense value, specifically by helping to determine the best potential times and levels to commit capital. The blue and red horizontal lines on the chart represent a next-best-probability buy re-entry range and a next-best-probability sell re-entry range over the short term. The ranges assume no existing position is being held by a trader, while the probabilities are based on several factors, which may include: Short-term ratings and medium-term regimes Momentum indicators Horizontal or diagonal support and resistance Candle structure Moving averages and standard deviation Please note that these are short-term levels and may contrast with medium- and long-term outlooks, which are based on the weekly and monthly charts and are generally more applicable to long-term investors. These levels are subject to change based on market sentiment, subsequent price action, and company/sector-specific or macroeconomic news flow. As always, while the levels are outlined to guide your capital deployment, traders should be prepared to adjust in real-time based on the aforementioned factors. THE TACTICAL TRADING GUIDE (PRICE ACTION MODEL): UNCOVER OPPORTUNITIES & ASSESS REWARD-TO-RISK It helps helps clients determine and shed light on the some of the following: The CURRENT TECHNICAL POSITION and a PRICE ACTION PROBABILITY for multiple time frames. Three (3) âtradingâ time frames are considered: Short Term (1 to 10 days) / Medium Term (2 to 4 weeks) and Long Term (5 to 8 weeks) Whether the reward-to-risk is attractive for a buy/long position Whether a share is weak. In this case, wait until the price stabilizes before looking to enter (i.e. want until it stops going down) Whether aggressive buying is underway. In this case, do not âchaseâ (do not buy) but instead wait for a pullback to re-enter a buy or an overextension with deteriorating candle structure to sell/short. Whether a trader can look to buy a pullback into a key moving average (continuation trade) Whether a share needs to break a range for a new trend to be determined (bullish or bearish) Whether a traders needs to monitor for a change of character that could lead to a bullish or bearish reversal Whether a share could start a consolidation phase or before continuing itâs bullish or bearish trend Whether the upward momentum is slowing (if it's in a bullish phase) Whether buyers can look to 'phase in' to a position (if it's in a bearish phase) Whether a share lacks directional bias. The data set is available in real-time (on request) The readings are subject to change as the price action develops. Lester Davids Senior Investment Analyst: Unum Capital
- đ„ïž Technical Screen: đŠShares in a 'Leading Phase' (Long Term)
This research note is free. Please Note: When Published Intraday (JSE Equities), Prices Are Delayed By 15 Minutes. What is a Technical Screen? In trading and technical analysis, a technical screen (or "screener") is a systematic process used to filter a vast universe of securitiesâsuch as the 100+ liquid names on the JSE or the thousands on the NYSEâdown to a manageable shortlist that meets specific, predefined criteria. Rather than analyzing every chart manually, a screen acts as a quantitative "funnel" to identify setups where the odds are mathematically skewed in your favor. Why Professionals Use Screens For an investment professional, a screen is less about "finding a tip" and more about process efficiency and bias reduction: Scalability: It allows an analyst to monitor hundreds of shares across multiple timeframes (Daily, Weekly, Monthly) simultaneously. Objectivity: It removes emotional attachment to specific "story stocks" and focuses strictly on price action and momentum profiles. Early Detection: It identifies sector rotations or "alpha flows" before they become obvious to the broader market. The Goal: A technical screen doesn't tell you what to buy; it tells you what is worth your time to investigate today. It turns a sea of data into a high-probability "watchlist." Types of Technical Screens Rotation: Absolute & Relative Trend & Phase Scans Leading Phase: Strong across all timeframes. Lagging Phase: Weak across all timeframes. Waking Up / Turnaround: Short-term strength appearing in a long-term downtrend. Deteriorating: Short-term weakness appearing in a long-term uptrend. Momentum & Velocity Power Trend: Extreme bullish momentum pushing a strong trend higher. Hyper Momentum: Parabolic, highly volatile upside. Violent Breakout: Explosive short-term push reversing a weak long-term trend. Momentum Squeeze: Timeframe convergence (coiling) usually preceding an explosive price move. Over-extended & Extremes Extreme Overbought: Euphoria across the board. Extreme Oversold: Severe panic selling across the board. Overbought Warning in Bear Trend: Violent counter-trend rally ripe for short-selling. Deep Dip in Bull Trend: Sharp, over-extended pullback in a primary uptrend. Capitulation: Total institutional abandonment. Volatility & Accumulation Steady Accumulation: High-quality, low-drama buying. Low Volatility Compounders: Slow, steady, highly predictable uptrends. High Volatility Momentum: Strong trend with wild daily swings. High-Vol Laggards: Dangerous wealth-destroyers with massive daily swings. Dead Money: Trapped in a tight, directionless neutral zone. Market Structure & Divergences Perfect Bull Alignment: Textbook sequential leadership (Short-term leads medium-term, which leads long-term). Perfect Bear Alignment: Textbook sequential breakdown (Short-term leads the decline, dragging down medium and long-term trends). Bullish Divergence: Shorter timeframes dragging a dead long-term trend higher. Bearish Divergence: Shorter timeframes breaking down while the long-term trend still looks great. Stealth Bull: Creeping accumulation while the long-term chart still looks bad. Stealth Bear: Creeping distribution while the long-term chart still looks good. MT Turnaround: Medium-term momentum just crossing out of weakness, pulled by short-term strength. MT Breakdown: Medium-term momentum just dropping out of strength, dragged by short-term weakness. Transitions & Pullbacks Bull Market Correction: Healthy pullback into weak territory within a strong primary trend. Bear Market Rally: Sharp bounce into strong territory within a primary downtrend. Bullish Stall: Short-term momentum flatlining inside a strong trend. Base Building: Bleeding has stopped, chopping sideways at the bottom. Lester Davids Senior Investment Analyst: Unum Capital
- đ„ïž Technical Screen: đ§ Deteriorating
This research note is free. Please Note: When Published Intraday (JSE Equities), Prices Are Delayed By 15 Minutes. What is a Technical Screen? In trading and technical analysis, a technical screen (or "screener") is a systematic process used to filter a vast universe of securitiesâsuch as the 100+ liquid names on the JSE or the thousands on the NYSEâdown to a manageable shortlist that meets specific, predefined criteria. Rather than analyzing every chart manually, a screen acts as a quantitative "funnel" to identify setups where the odds are mathematically skewed in your favor. Why Professionals Use Screens For an investment professional, a screen is less about "finding a tip" and more about process efficiency and bias reduction: Scalability: It allows an analyst to monitor hundreds of shares across multiple timeframes (Daily, Weekly, Monthly) simultaneously. Objectivity: It removes emotional attachment to specific "story stocks" and focuses strictly on price action and momentum profiles. Early Detection: It identifies sector rotations or "alpha flows" before they become obvious to the broader market. The Goal: A technical screen doesn't tell you what to buy; it tells you what is worth your time to investigate today. It turns a sea of data into a high-probability "watchlist." Types of Technical Screens Rotation: Absolute & Relative Trend & Phase Scans Leading Phase: Strong across all timeframes. Lagging Phase: Weak across all timeframes. Waking Up / Turnaround: Short-term strength appearing in a long-term downtrend. Deteriorating: Short-term weakness appearing in a long-term uptrend. Momentum & Velocity Power Trend: Extreme bullish momentum pushing a strong trend higher. Hyper Momentum: Parabolic, highly volatile upside. Violent Breakout: Explosive short-term push reversing a weak long-term trend. Momentum Squeeze: Timeframe convergence (coiling) usually preceding an explosive price move. Over-extended & Extremes Extreme Overbought: Euphoria across the board. Extreme Oversold: Severe panic selling across the board. Overbought Warning in Bear Trend: Violent counter-trend rally ripe for short-selling. Deep Dip in Bull Trend: Sharp, over-extended pullback in a primary uptrend. Capitulation: Total institutional abandonment. Volatility & Accumulation Steady Accumulation: High-quality, low-drama buying. Low Volatility Compounders: Slow, steady, highly predictable uptrends. High Volatility Momentum: Strong trend with wild daily swings. High-Vol Laggards: Dangerous wealth-destroyers with massive daily swings. Dead Money: Trapped in a tight, directionless neutral zone. Market Structure & Divergences Perfect Bull Alignment: Textbook sequential leadership (Short-term leads medium-term, which leads long-term). Perfect Bear Alignment: Textbook sequential breakdown (Short-term leads the decline, dragging down medium and long-term trends). Bullish Divergence: Shorter timeframes dragging a dead long-term trend higher. Bearish Divergence: Shorter timeframes breaking down while the long-term trend still looks great. Stealth Bull: Creeping accumulation while the long-term chart still looks bad. Stealth Bear: Creeping distribution while the long-term chart still looks good. MT Turnaround: Medium-term momentum just crossing out of weakness, pulled by short-term strength. MT Breakdown: Medium-term momentum just dropping out of strength, dragged by short-term weakness. Transitions & Pullbacks Bull Market Correction: Healthy pullback into weak territory within a strong primary trend. Bear Market Rally: Sharp bounce into strong territory within a primary downtrend. Bullish Stall: Short-term momentum flatlining inside a strong trend. Base Building: Bleeding has stopped, chopping sideways at the bottom. Lester Davids Senior Investment Analyst: Unum Capital
- âł Internal Rotation: High Dividend/Income
This research note is free. Please Note: When Published Intraday (JSE Equities), Prices Are Delayed By 15 Minutes. A Relative Rotation Graph (RRG) highlights the relative strength and momentum of multiple assets against a common benchmark, plotting them on a single visual grid. By tracking the rotational path of these assets, traders can see exactly which sectors, stocks, or asset classes are leading, lagging, or transitioning at any given time. How It Helps Traders Visualizing Sector Rotation: Traders can watch capital flow out of one sector (Weakening) and into another (Improving) before the shift becomes obvious on standard price charts. Pairs Trading: By identifying one asset entering the "Leading" quadrant and another plunging into "Lagging," traders can structure long/short pairs trades with a clear statistical divergence. Momentum Velocity: The "tails" trailing behind each asset on an RRG show trajectory and speed. Longer, widely spaced dots on a tail indicate rapid, violent momentum shifts, while tightly clustered dots suggest consolidation. Macro Condensation: Instead of flipping through dozens of isolated price charts and moving averages, an RRG condenses the entire market's relative performance into a single, actionable snapshot. Lester Davids Senior Investment Analyst: Unum Capital
- âł Internal Rotation: South Africa-Related Equities
This research note is free. Please Note: When Published Intraday (JSE Equities), Prices Are Delayed By 15 Minutes. A Relative Rotation Graph (RRG) highlights the relative strength and momentum of multiple assets against a common benchmark, plotting them on a single visual grid. By tracking the rotational path of these assets, traders can see exactly which sectors, stocks, or asset classes are leading, lagging, or transitioning at any given time. How It Helps Traders Visualizing Sector Rotation: Traders can watch capital flow out of one sector (Weakening) and into another (Improving) before the shift becomes obvious on standard price charts. Pairs Trading: By identifying one asset entering the "Leading" quadrant and another plunging into "Lagging," traders can structure long/short pairs trades with a clear statistical divergence. Momentum Velocity: The "tails" trailing behind each asset on an RRG show trajectory and speed. Longer, widely spaced dots on a tail indicate rapid, violent momentum shifts, while tightly clustered dots suggest consolidation. Macro Condensation: Instead of flipping through dozens of isolated price charts and moving averages, an RRG condenses the entire market's relative performance into a single, actionable snapshot. Lester Davids Senior Investment Analyst: Unum Capital











