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  • Writer's picturePeet Serfontein

Analyst Thoughts: EUR/USD Medium-Term


  • The preferred view of a bull trend to RA2*, followed by impulsive downside to S2, remains valid. The longer-term view is for wide-ranging conditions between RA2* and S2 during the initial part of 2024.

  • The interim expected phase B bearish correction off R1 is materialising and should target S0*.

  • The final phase C upside to RA2* will likely become a meaningful top, followed by a 1,2,3,4,5-bear trend to S1 and S2, as illustrated.

  • S0* remains the pivotal level for the view. A breach of this level would signal a reversal in the overall bullish sentiment and trend bias.


Target and Re-assessment Levels:

Important Levels: RA2* and S0*

Primary Trend and Target Levels: Gains to RA2*, then down to S2

Monthly Range: R1/S0*

Prevailing Trend and Target Levels: Downside towards S0*

Technical Rating: Medium

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