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Writer's picturePeet Serfontein

Analyst Thoughts - USD/ZAR Medium-term

THE VIEW REMAINS FAVORABLE FOR AN EXTENDED BULL TREND, HOWEVER, THE POSSIBILITY OF A FLAT PATTERN EMERGING ALSO APPEARS LIKELY.


  • Summary: The current blue PK triangle pattern is potentially part of a larger bull trend that should eventually re–emerge to TA1.

  • The PK pattern seems incomplete with further d and e legs to complete.

  • A bullish break of P/R1* will activate the illustrated gains to TA1*

  • A meaningful W,X,Y correction towards S1* will remain part of the long-term bull trend.

  • Conviction: Medium to high.

  • Alternatives: The current consolidation (PK triangle pattern) could still take on a flat pattern within the R1*/S1* parameters. A "flat pattern" refers to a type of price chart pattern that indicates a period of consolidation in a market.



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