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- The Oil Spike: 4 Ways Unum Capital Clients Were Prepared For Energy Sector Opportunities
Research Notes March 2026 > https://www.unum.capital/post/rmar2026 Trade Local & Global Financial Markets with Unum Capital. To get started, email tradingdesk@unum.co.za Published on Sunday 08 March. Our research, combined with world-class execution from our Trading Desk helps clients uncover and capitalize on trading opportunities. Amidst the ongoing trends and rising volatility, here are 4x ways in which we helped our clients prepare and position for the now-leading move in the energy sector. Opportunity #1: 31 August 2025 Note: We ran our 45 technical screeners through Google's Artificial Intelligence Tool, Gemini, with the results at the time highlighting flows into the energy sector. On 31 August, we published a note titled: "Are You Positioned For The Move In Energy?" . Out of the 11 S&P SPDR Sectors, XLE (Energy) is higher by just under 25%. The #2 spot belongs to Industrials with a distant 12.8%. gain, while the S&P 500 Index is higher by only 5% since then. Opportunity #2: 19 November 2025 Note: Brent Crude Oil. Informed by the Price Action Model (Tactical Trading Guide), the commodity is Higher by 46% as of Friday's high. Opportunity #3: 26 January 2026 Trade Idea: United States Oil Fund (Crude Oil ETF). Sourced from the analyst's technical screener, the instrument is higher by 48% since. Opportunity #4: 22 January 2026 Trade Idea: State Street: Oil & Gas Exploration & Production ETF (XOP). Sourced from the analyst's technical screener, the ETF is higher by 24% since. Research Notes March 2026 > https://www.unum.capital/post/rmar2026 Trade Local & Global Financial Markets with Unum Capital. To get started, email tradingdesk@unum.co.za Lester Davids Senior Investment Analyst: Unum Capital
- Take Partial Profits on Anglo American Plc: Declining 14.6% vs Sell Re-Entry Range
Research Notes March 2026 > https://www.unum.capital/post/rmar2026 Trade Local & Global Financial Markets with Unum Capital. To get started, email tradingdesk@unum.co.za Previous Post (Sunday 15 February): Trading Anglo American Plc: Approaching Overbought Bottom Line: Anglo American PLC (AGL) is in a powerful, high-velocity uptrend. However, with Tactical, Fast, and Structural momentum indicators all flashing **"Overbought"**, the probabilities suggest the market is extended. While the Primary Trend supports a long-term bullish bias, traders should be wary of a short-term exhaustion event. **Hold existing longs with tightened stops**, but be patient when looking for new entries, waiting for the faster indicators to cool off from these extreme levels. Trading Notes/Resources (Where Applicable) READY TO TRADE: ACTIONABLE AREAS: For active traders who look to generate cash flow on a continuous basis, determining the ‘next best probability’ level to execute against may be of immense value. The blue and red horizontal lines on the chart represent a next best probability buy re-entry range and a next best probability sell re-entry range over the short term. The ranges assume no existing position being held by a trader while the probabilities are based on several factors which may include: short term rating, medium term regime, momentum, horizontal or diagonal support/resistance, candle structure, moving averages and standard deviation, among others. These are short term levels and may be in contrast to medium and long term outlooks which are based on the weekly and monthly charts and, which may be applicable to long term investors. These levels are subject to change based on sentiment, the subsequent price action and company/sector specific or macro news flow. As always, while the levels are outlined, traders should be prepared to adjust in real-time based on the aforementioned. "Strategy Alerts" help clients identify trading opportunities . When a ticker's real-time or pre-market price action aligns with the criteria on a slide—such as a pullback to the 21-day EMA or a breakout from a consolidation base—it effectively "matches" that stock to the strategy, triggering an alert to a potential trading opportunity. This approach transforms the playbook into a dynamic scanning tool, allowing you to instantly categorize active stocks by the specific technical thesis playing out , ensuring that every trading potential opportunity communicated is backed by a predefined, actionable setup. THE TACTICAL TRADING GUIDE (PRICE ACTION MODEL) : UNCOVER OPPORTUNITIES & ASSESS REWARD-TO-RISK It helps helps clients determine and shed light on the some of the following: The CURRENT TECHNICAL POSITION and a PRICE ACTION PROBABILITY for multiple time frames. Three (3) ‘trading’ time frames are considered: Short Term (1 to 10 days) / Medium Term (2 to 4 weeks) and Long Term (5 to 8 weeks) Whether the reward-to-risk is attractive for a buy/long position Whether a share is weak. In this case, wait until the price stabilizes before looking to enter (i.e. want until it stops going down) Whether aggressive buying is underway. In this case, do not ‘chase’ (do not buy) but instead wait for a pullback to re-enter a buy or an overextension with deteriorating candle structure to sell/short. Whether a trader can look to buy a pullback into a key moving average (continuation trade) Whether a share needs to break a range for a new trend to be determined (bullish or bearish) Whether a traders needs to monitor for a change of character that could lead to a bullish or bearish reversal Whether a share could start a consolidation phase or before continuing it’s bullish or bearish trend Whether the upward momentum is slowing (if it's in a bullish phase) Whether buyers can look to 'phase in' to a position (if it's in a bearish phase) Whether a share lacks directional bias. The data set is available in real-time (on request) The readings are subject to change as the price action develops. Lester Davids Senior Investment Analyst: Unum Capital
- Short Term Traders, Partially Cover Nedbank Shorts: Retreating In Line With Price Action Model (Risks Communicated)
Research Notes March 2026 > https://www.unum.capital/post/rmar2026 Trade Local & Global Financial Markets with Unum Capital. To get started, email tradingdesk@unum.co.za R317 to R285 See the PRICE ACTION MODEL further below for the technical risks communicated! Previous Post (Thursday 26 February 2026): Nedbank: Extending Gains to +47%. This is the Current Price Action Model Reading Previous Post (12 February): Take Profits on Nedbank: Running +34% (Medium Term Traders) Previous Post (13 November): Take Partial Profits on Nedbank: Running +21% (Short Term Traders) If you are a LONG TERM TRADER who can stomach a pullback, then further upside may be at hand. Either take partial profits, or implement a trailing stop-loss. Previous Post (05 September): Trading Nedbank: Bear Trend Nearing Exhaustion? Lester Davids Senior Investment Analyst: Unum Capital
- JSE Top 40 Index
Research Notes March 2026 > https://www.unum.capital/post/rmar2026 Trade Local & Global Financial Markets with Unum Capital. To get started, email tradingdesk@unum.co.za Regime: Corrective Pullback / Consolidation Primary Outlook: Sell on rally Executive Summary: The Integrated View When integrated, the three time frames present a classic corrective phase within a broader structural bull market . The long-term trend remains upward, but it has hit an exhaustion point, making new long investments highly unattractive. As a result, the medium and short-term time frames have rolled over into weakness and bearishness. The primary takeaway is that the index is undergoing a necessary multi-week digestion period. While nimble traders might catch a quick short-term bounce if specific support levels are reclaimed, the dominant tactical strategy is to use any such rebounds to initiate short positions or reduce long exposure until the longer-term consolidation runs its course. Detailed Trend Analysis 1. Short Term (approx. 1 to 10 days) 7-Day Trend: Weak 14-Day Trend: Bearish Outlook: Persistently Weak But Monitor If Price Can Reclaim Prior Session Lows For A Bullish Reversal Trade. Analysis: Immediate momentum is to the downside. However, the model identifies a highly specific, tactical counter-trend opportunity: if the index dips below the prior session's lows and then surges back above them (a "reclaim"), it triggers a short-term bullish reversal setup. 2. Medium Term (approx. 2 to 4 weeks) Status: Upward Trend Turned Weaker Analysis: This timeframe dictates the swing trader's bias. The trend has deteriorated. The explicit instruction is to "Use Rebounds Into The 8, 21 or 50-EMA As A Potential Sell Short Range" . This confirms that rallies are currently viewed as dead-cat bounces to be sold, rather than the start of a new leg up. 3. Long Term (approx. 5 to 8 weeks) Status: Strong Upward Trend (Consolidating) Analysis: Structurally, the bull market is intact ("Strong Upward Trend"), but the timing for entry is poor ("Long Risk Reward Unattractive"). The index is experiencing a "Minor Pullback At Present" and the expectation is for sideways "Consolidation" to digest previous gains. Strategic Action Plan Primary Strategy: Fade the Rallies. The Medium-Term Play: Do not trust green candles blindly. If the index rallies into the overhead supply of the 8, 21, or 50-EMA, look for signs of rejection to initiate tactical short positions. The Short-Term Scalp: For highly active traders, watch the prior session lows. A false breakdown and reclaim of these lows is the only indicated trigger for a "Bullish Reversal Trade". The Macro View: Long-term investors should stand aside. The risk/reward for adding to core holdings is unattractive until the current consolidation phase resets the technical balance. Lester Davids Senior Investment Analyst: Unum Capital Trading Notes/Resources (Where Applicable) READY TO TRADE: ACTIONABLE AREAS: For active traders who look to generate cash flow on a continuous basis, determining the ‘next best probability’ level to execute against may be of immense value. The blue and red horizontal lines on the chart represent a next best probability buy re-entry range and a next best probability sell re-entry range over the short term. The ranges assume no existing position being held by a trader while the probabilities are based on several factors which may include: short term rating, medium term regime, momentum, horizontal or diagonal support/resistance, candle structure, moving averages and standard deviation, among others. These are short term levels and may be in contrast to medium and long term outlooks which are based on the weekly and monthly charts and, which may be applicable to long term investors. These levels are subject to change based on sentiment, the subsequent price action and company/sector specific or macro news flow. As always, while the levels are outlined, traders should be prepared to adjust in real-time based on the aforementioned. "Strategy Alerts" help clients identify trading opportunities . When a ticker's real-time or pre-market price action aligns with the criteria on a slide—such as a pullback to the 21-day EMA or a breakout from a consolidation base—it effectively "matches" that stock to the strategy, triggering an alert to a potential trading opportunity. This approach transforms the playbook into a dynamic scanning tool, allowing you to instantly categorize active stocks by the specific technical thesis playing out , ensuring that every trading potential opportunity communicated is backed by a predefined, actionable setup. THE TACTICAL TRADING GUIDE (PRICE ACTION MODEL) : UNCOVER OPPORTUNITIES & ASSESS REWARD-TO-RISK It helps helps clients determine and shed light on the some of the following: The CURRENT TECHNICAL POSITION and a PRICE ACTION PROBABILITY for multiple time frames. Three (3) ‘trading’ time frames are considered: Short Term (1 to 10 days) / Medium Term (2 to 4 weeks) and Long Term (5 to 8 weeks) Whether the reward-to-risk is attractive for a buy/long position Whether a share is weak. In this case, wait until the price stabilizes before looking to enter (i.e. want until it stops going down) Whether aggressive buying is underway. In this case, do not ‘chase’ (do not buy) but instead wait for a pullback to re-enter a buy or an overextension with deteriorating candle structure to sell/short. Whether a trader can look to buy a pullback into a key moving average (continuation trade) Whether a share needs to break a range for a new trend to be determined (bullish or bearish) Whether a traders needs to monitor for a change of character that could lead to a bullish or bearish reversal Whether a share could start a consolidation phase or before continuing it’s bullish or bearish trend Whether the upward momentum is slowing (if it's in a bullish phase) Whether buyers can look to 'phase in' to a position (if it's in a bearish phase) Whether a share lacks directional bias. The data set is available in real-time (on request) The readings are subject to change as the price action develops.
- Take Profits on Brent Crude Oil: Running +32% (Medium Term Traders)
Research Notes March 2026 > https://www.unum.capital/post/rmar2026 Trade Local & Global Financial Markets with Unum Capital. To get started, email tradingdesk@unum.co.za Subsequently, a base was built in December and January with upside follow-through thus far this year. Geopolitics a MASSIVE DRIVER! Previous Post (19 November 2025): Brent Crude Oil: Attempting A Bullish Reversal Lester Davids Senior Investment Analyst: Unum Capital
- Generating Cash: Pan African + Valterra + Impala + Gold Fields + AngloGold + Absa + Northam Platinum
Research Notes March 2026 > https://www.unum.capital/post/rmar2026 Trade Local & Global Financial Markets with Unum Capital. To get started, email tradingdesk@unum.co.za This is an update on the constituents via the screener. Here, we identified shares that technically extended and due a pullback (opportunity for short/sellers). The % change represents the movement so far this week. 1st Slide Only. The shares that declined far OUTWEIGHED the slight gains for the remaining counters. These screen are incredibly useful in helping clients identify opportunities to trade. Are you capitalizing on our research, or watching opportunities go by? Don't get left behind. Pan African Resources -6.6% Valterra Platinum -14.4% Impala Platinum -23% Northam Platinum -10.4% AngloGold Ashanti -10.5% South 32 +1.7% Glencore +0.93% Gold Fields -11.6% RFG -4.9% Rainbow Chicken +1.1% Anglo American Plc -5.1% Absa Group -8.2% Sabvest -1% MTN Group -2.8% Hosken Consolidated +2.3% African Rainbow Minerals -8.2% Previous Post (Sunday, 01 March): Technical Screen: High Bullish Momentum But Technically Extended Lester Davids Senior Investment Analyst: Unum Capital
- Take Profit: Full Target Reached On Oil & Gas Exploration ETF (XOP) Running +22%
Research Notes March 2026 > https://www.unum.capital/post/rmar2026 Trade Local & Global Financial Markets with Unum Capital. To get started, email tradingdesk@unum.co.za Published: Thursday, 05 March 2026 US Trading Session (20h19 South African Time) Previous Post (22 January): Global Idea: State Street Oil & Gas Exploration & Production ETF (XOP) Buy at current level of $134.63 or lower Stop-loss: $121.00 Target(s): $160.00 & 165.00 Code: XOP Lester Davids Senior Investment Analyst: Unum Capital
- AngloGold Ashanti: Reversal Setup & Key Technical Levels (Intraday/Ultra Short Term)
Research Notes March 2026 > https://www.unum.capital/post/rmar2026 Trade Local & Global Financial Markets with Unum Capital. To get started, email tradingdesk@unum.co.za Analysis Based on 5-Min Chart: Looking for a break of the downward trend lines to trigger a counter-trend rally. Following the aggressive broader market sell-off we have tracked since the beginning of March, an actionable technical setup is currently unfolding on the intraday charts for AngloGold Ashanti (ANG). The stock has managed to carve out a definitive hard floor, forming a double-bottom structure at the 183,198 ZAC support level. We are currently observing a sharp, impulsive rally off this base, characterized by a breakout from immediate descending wedge resistance structures. Here is a breakdown of the current market dynamics and our strategic outlook across the intraday timeframes: Technical Context & Key Levels The Reversal Base: The defense of the 183,198 ZAC level early today acted as a springboard. This is our critical line in the sand; a failure of this double-bottom support would signal a severe resumption of the overarching downtrend. Immediate Breakout: Ultra Short Term momentum is firmly favoring the upside. Price action has breached the steepest near-term resistance, indicating immediate buying pressure. Overhead Supply: The price is rapidly approaching a major technical convergence zone between 188,000 and 188,500 ZAC . This area aligns with the primary descending trendline that has dictated the structural sell-off since the March peak. Execution Strategy This is a tactical, counter-trend momentum play. The strategy relies entirely on the structural integrity of the 183,198 ZAC double-bottom. We recommend looking to take intraday profits as the asset approaches the 188,500 ZAC resistance zone, as the broader structure does not yet support holding this position overnight. Any significant strength into resistance would raise the probability of a further breakout. Strict stop-losses must be placed just below 183,198 ZAC to protect capital against a trend continuation. Lester Davids Senior Investment Analyst: Unum Capital
- JSE Bank Index: Bearish Reversal Downside Follow-Through
Research Notes March 2026 > https://www.unum.capital/post/rmar2026 Trade Local & Global Financial Markets with Unum Capital. To get started, email tradingdesk@unum.co.za Previous Post (20 February): JSE Bank Index: Technical Risk (See Monthly Chart) Monthly Chart trading at upper boundary of multi--year channel. In addition, the 7-month RSI is the most overbought in 19 years. Fundamental valuations remain relatively attractive however caution to new longs i.e. there are better entries at lower levels. Trading Notes/Resources (Where Applicable) READY TO TRADE: ACTIONABLE AREAS: For active traders who look to generate cash flow on a continuous basis, determining the ‘next best probability’ level to execute against may be of immense value. The blue and red horizontal lines on the chart represent a next best probability buy re-entry range and a next best probability sell re-entry range over the short term. The ranges assume no existing position being held by a trader while the probabilities are based on several factors which may include: short term rating, medium term regime, momentum, horizontal or diagonal support/resistance, candle structure, moving averages and standard deviation, among others. These are short term levels and may be in contrast to medium and long term outlooks which are based on the weekly and monthly charts and, which may be applicable to long term investors. These levels are subject to change based on sentiment, the subsequent price action and company/sector specific or macro news flow. As always, while the levels are outlined, traders should be prepared to adjust in real-time based on the aforementioned. "Strategy Alerts" help clients identify trading opportunities . When a ticker's real-time or pre-market price action aligns with the criteria on a slide—such as a pullback to the 21-day EMA or a breakout from a consolidation base—it effectively "matches" that stock to the strategy, triggering an alert to a potential trading opportunity. This approach transforms the playbook into a dynamic scanning tool, allowing you to instantly categorize active stocks by the specific technical thesis playing out , ensuring that every trading potential opportunity communicated is backed by a predefined, actionable setup. THE TACTICAL TRADING GUIDE (PRICE ACTION MODEL) : UNCOVER OPPORTUNITIES & ASSESS REWARD-TO-RISK It helps helps clients determine and shed light on the some of the following: The CURRENT TECHNICAL POSITION and a PRICE ACTION PROBABILITY for multiple time frames. Three (3) ‘trading’ time frames are considered: Short Term (1 to 10 days) / Medium Term (2 to 4 weeks) and Long Term (5 to 8 weeks) Whether the reward-to-risk is attractive for a buy/long position Whether a share is weak. In this case, wait until the price stabilizes before looking to enter (i.e. want until it stops going down) Whether aggressive buying is underway. In this case, do not ‘chase’ (do not buy) but instead wait for a pullback to re-enter a buy or an overextension with deteriorating candle structure to sell/short. Whether a trader can look to buy a pullback into a key moving average (continuation trade) Whether a share needs to break a range for a new trend to be determined (bullish or bearish) Whether a traders needs to monitor for a change of character that could lead to a bullish or bearish reversal Whether a share could start a consolidation phase or before continuing it’s bullish or bearish trend Whether the upward momentum is slowing (if it's in a bullish phase) Whether buyers can look to 'phase in' to a position (if it's in a bearish phase) Whether a share lacks directional bias. The data set is available in real-time (on request) The readings are subject to change as the price action develops. Lester Davids Senior Investment Analyst: Unum Capital
- 🎥Video: Absa Group
Research Notes March 2026 > https://www.unum.capital/post/rmar2026 Trade Local & Global Financial Markets with Unum Capital. To get started, email tradingdesk@unum.co.za Trading Notes/Resources (Where Applicable) READY TO TRADE: ACTIONABLE AREAS: For active traders who look to generate cash flow on a continuous basis, determining the ‘next best probability’ level to execute against may be of immense value. The blue and red horizontal lines on the chart represent a next best probability buy re-entry range and a next best probability sell re-entry range over the short term. The ranges assume no existing position being held by a trader while the probabilities are based on several factors which may include: short term rating, medium term regime, momentum, horizontal or diagonal support/resistance, candle structure, moving averages and standard deviation, among others. These are short term levels and may be in contrast to medium and long term outlooks which are based on the weekly and monthly charts and, which may be applicable to long term investors. These levels are subject to change based on sentiment, the subsequent price action and company/sector specific or macro news flow. As always, while the levels are outlined, traders should be prepared to adjust in real-time based on the aforementioned. "Strategy Alerts" help clients identify trading opportunities . When a ticker's real-time or pre-market price action aligns with the criteria on a slide—such as a pullback to the 21-day EMA or a breakout from a consolidation base—it effectively "matches" that stock to the strategy, triggering an alert to a potential trading opportunity. This approach transforms the playbook into a dynamic scanning tool, allowing you to instantly categorize active stocks by the specific technical thesis playing out , ensuring that every trading potential opportunity communicated is backed by a predefined, actionable setup. THE TACTICAL TRADING GUIDE (PRICE ACTION MODEL) : UNCOVER OPPORTUNITIES & ASSESS REWARD-TO-RISK It helps helps clients determine and shed light on the some of the following: The CURRENT TECHNICAL POSITION and a PRICE ACTION PROBABILITY for multiple time frames. Three (3) ‘trading’ time frames are considered: Short Term (1 to 10 days) / Medium Term (2 to 4 weeks) and Long Term (5 to 8 weeks) Whether the reward-to-risk is attractive for a buy/long position Whether a share is weak. In this case, wait until the price stabilizes before looking to enter (i.e. want until it stops going down) Whether aggressive buying is underway. In this case, do not ‘chase’ (do not buy) but instead wait for a pullback to re-enter a buy or an overextension with deteriorating candle structure to sell/short. Whether a trader can look to buy a pullback into a key moving average (continuation trade) Whether a share needs to break a range for a new trend to be determined (bullish or bearish) Whether a traders needs to monitor for a change of character that could lead to a bullish or bearish reversal Whether a share could start a consolidation phase or before continuing it’s bullish or bearish trend Whether the upward momentum is slowing (if it's in a bullish phase) Whether buyers can look to 'phase in' to a position (if it's in a bearish phase) Whether a share lacks directional bias. The data set is available in real-time (on request) The readings are subject to change as the price action develops. Lester Davids Senior Investment Analyst: Unum Capital
- JSE Sectors: Momentum Gauge
Research Notes March 2026 > https://www.unum.capital/post/rmar2026 Trade Local & Global Financial Markets with Unum Capital. To get started, email tradingdesk@unum.co.za Lester Davids Senior Investment Analyst: Unum Capital
- JSE Sector: Momentum Trend Trajectory
Research Notes March 2026 > https://www.unum.capital/post/rmar2026 Trade Local & Global Financial Markets with Unum Capital. To get started, email tradingdesk@unum.co.za Lester Davids Senior Investment Analyst: Unum Capital












