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  • Trading Naspers

    Take Profit Opportunities: Our Capabilities > https://www.unum.capital/post/capabilities Free Content: June 2026 > https://www.unum.capital/post/rjune2026 Trade Local & Global Financial Markets with Unum Capital. To get started, email tradingdesk@unum.co.za NOTE: When Published Intraday (JSE Equities), Prices Are Delayed By 15 Minutes Published Monday 29 June (after market close) for Tuesday 30 June. The share has found support on it's 200-week moving average, the range which was considered in the previous note, although the deeper buy zone was not reached. The group's results (published Monday 29 June) was well received by the market as the share rose nearly 5% on the day. A print lower into in the buy range will be an opportunity for traders to re-accumulate. Previous Post (22 June) 🟦Buy on Deeper Pullback. Monitor R730 (and Below) For Buy Re-Entry Chart & analysis as of Friday 19 June at 15h12. Naspers Ltd (NPN) 🟥 Appears vulnerable to a break of a medium term support level that has been tested on several occasions. 🟩 Approaching it's rising 200-week SMA buy 🟧 vulnerable to a break of this level which can take it down to support near R730. 🟥Trading below all short and medium term moving averages (bearish) READY TO TRADE: ACTIONABLE AREAS For active traders who look to generate cash flow on a continuous basis, determining the ‘next best probability’ level to execute against may be of immense value, specifically by helping to determine the best potential times and levels to commit capital. The blue and red horizontal lines on the chart represent a next-best-probability buy re-entry range and a next-best-probability sell re-entry range over the short term. The ranges assume no existing position is being held by a trader, while the probabilities are based on several factors, which may include: Short-term ratings and medium-term regimes Momentum indicators Horizontal or diagonal support and resistance Candle structure Moving averages and standard deviation Please note that these are short-term levels and may contrast with medium- and long-term outlooks, which are based on the weekly and monthly charts and are generally more applicable to long-term investors. These levels are subject to change based on market sentiment, subsequent price action, and company/sector-specific or macroeconomic news flow. As always, while the levels are outlined to guide your capital deployment, traders should be prepared to adjust in real-time based on the aforementioned factors. THE TACTICAL TRADING GUIDE (PRICE ACTION MODEL): UNCOVER OPPORTUNITIES & ASSESS REWARD-TO-RISK It helps helps clients determine and shed light on the some of the following: The CURRENT TECHNICAL POSITION and a PRICE ACTION PROBABILITY for multiple time frames. Three (3) ‘trading’ time frames are considered: Short Term (1 to 10 days) / Medium Term (2 to 4 weeks) and Long Term (5 to 8 weeks) Whether the reward-to-risk is attractive for a buy/long position Whether a share is weak. In this case, wait until the price stabilizes before looking to enter (i.e. want until it stops going down) Whether aggressive buying is underway. In this case, do not ‘chase’ (do not buy) but instead wait for a pullback to re-enter a buy or an overextension with deteriorating candle structure to sell/short. Whether a trader can look to buy a pullback into a key moving average (continuation trade) Whether a share needs to break a range for a new trend to be determined (bullish or bearish) Whether a traders needs to monitor for a change of character that could lead to a bullish or bearish reversal Whether a share could start a consolidation phase or before continuing it’s bullish or bearish trend Whether the upward momentum is slowing (if it's in a bullish phase) Whether buyers can look to 'phase in' to a position (if it's in a bearish phase) Whether a share lacks directional bias. The data set is available in real-time (on request) The readings are subject to change as the price action develops. Lester Davids Senior Investment Analyst: Unum Capital

  • 🟧S&P 500 Index: Notes on Chart

    Take Profit Opportunities: Our Capabilities > https://www.unum.capital/post/capabilities Free Content: June 2026 > https://www.unum.capital/post/rjune2026 Trade Local & Global Financial Markets with Unum Capital. To get started, email tradingdesk@unum.co.za NOTE: When Published Intraday (JSE Equities), Prices Are Delayed By 15 Minutes Published on Sunday 28 June for Monday 29 June. Due to unforeseen circumstances, I will not have access to my laptop on Monday 29 June. Core views: Unwiding from medium term overbought. Short term selling pressure becoming more aggressive Shifting below the 8/21-EMA (daily chart). Previous Post (Wednesday, 03 June)🟩Aggressive Bull Phase But 🟧Ultra Short Term Momentum Slowing S&P 500 Index (SPX500) [7,609.78]. 🟩 Structural Breakout 🟧 Tactical Overheating ⬆️ Buy on Pullback 🟩 ⚖️ Tactically, long positions encounter immediate friction as the daily momentum indicators reach an extended, overbought ceiling, flashing localized signs of near-term exhaustion. Conversely, short positions face severe "steamroller" risk when fading a synchronized, multi-timeframe macro breakout that is clearing key psychological thresholds. 🔭 Forecasting models indicate that near-term volatility spikes or shallow corrective flushes will seamlessly evolve into structural trend continuation, supporting a high-probability 3- to 6-month secular expansion. 📊 Driven by a powerful momentum profile where the Structural Trend and Primary Trend are fully aligned and accelerating upward, the broad-market index has broken cleanly into unmapped blue-sky discovery territory. 🌍 With strong institutional sponsorship visible across all major time horizons, the preferred strategic approach is to aggressively trail protective stops on existing longs and wait to accumulate core exposure on any tactical pullbacks toward the 7,400 structural support shelf. Current Phase: 🟢 Blue Sky Discovery / Parabolic Expansion Next Best-Probability Phase: 🟡 Tactical Reset / Volatility Digestion Analyst Verdict: Trend Continuation / Hold & Trail Stops. Tactical Risk Assessment: Integrated Confluence Buying & Long Positions Risk for New Buy Entries: Parabolic Climax. Initiating fresh long positions directly into a vertical, multi-day acceleration that has confidently cleared 7,500 carries severe immediate risk. With Tactical Momentum (Daily) pinned deeply in its upper bound, entering at the absolute extension leaves capital highly vulnerable to an algorithmic mean-reversion flush aimed at testing the 7,400 breakout shelf and gap-fill zone. Risk for Existing Long Positions: Profit Erosion via Volatility. The primary macro matrix is robustly bullish, but failing to trail stops aggressively near these psychological extremes exposes unbooked premium to violent, low-liquidity shakeouts designed to reset overextended short-term indicators. What Can Change? Continued, heavy index-heavyweight inflows forcing a clean weekly close above the 7,700 level would signal that the macro cycle is entirely overriding tactical gravity, extending the vertical squeeze. Selling & Short Positions Risk for New Short Entries: Steamroller Risk. Attempting to top-tick a broad-market index while the Primary Trend (Monthly) is undergoing a powerful, non-divergent vertical expansion is exceptionally dangerous. Overbought momentum profiles do not automatically function as sell signals during a blue-sky breakout; they can easily remain sustained for extended periods. Risk for Existing Short Positions: Existential Capitulation. Caught shorts are acting as structural fuel for this upward march. Because the intermediate trend has eliminated all visible overhead supply and friction, defending short exposure here subjects capital to uncapped, vertical drawdown. What Can Change? A high-volume distribution tail (such as an intra-day engulfing failure) that violently pushes the index back beneath the 7,400 breakout pivot would signal immediate structural exhaustion, trapping late-stage buyers and validating a deeper mean-reversion move. Previous Post (01 May 2026): S&P 500 Index Bottom Line: I Was Wrong, But The Data Wasn't. THE DATA (PRICE ACTION MODEL): Thus far, the index rebounded by nearly 14%, in line with the price action model (1 to 10 day time frame) which stated that the 'reward-to-risk had become appealing for a buy/long position.' LESTER'S VIEW: The was out of line with my manual view i.e. it did not get down to the buy re-entry range nor did it find resistance at the sell re-entry range. My expectation was for a further decline toward the prior breakout level or a minor rally before a dip toward the next buy re-entry range. Previous Post (Sunday, 28 March): S&P 500 Index: Waterfall Breakdown + Next Best Actionable Areas Published on Sunday, 29 March for Monday, 30 March. S&P 500 Index (SPX) Momentum Profile: The weekly momentum profile reveals a catastrophic and uniform collapse. The Ultra Short Term and Short Term tiers have plunged to absolute zero-bound extremes, indicating maximum historical localized selling pressure and algorithmic capitulation. The Mid Term has dragged deep into weak territory, and the Base Term has now fractured below its neutral band into weakness, confirming that the aggressive sell-off has fundamentally damaged the longer-term macro trend. Structural Analysis & Tactical Bias: Evaluating the 20-week macro context, the SPX was previously in a sustained, orderly structural uptrend, peaking near ~6,650. Within the 10-week window, the index printed a clear double-top distribution structure, failing to sustain new highs as institutional exhaustion set in. Looking at the 3-to-5-week timeframe, this distribution phase resolved violently to the downside. Isolating the immediate 1-week timeframe, the index printed a devastating red waterfall candle, effortlessly slicing through the 6,500 critical psychological level to close near absolute weekly lows at 6,368.85. Given the total collapse in momentum and the definitive breakdown of the macro floor, the tactical bias is strictly 🔴 Avoid / Waterfall Capitulation. Key Support & Resistance Levels: Overhead supply and macro resistance are firmly established at ~6,500 to ~6,600, representing the massive broken support zone that now acts as a formidable ceiling containing trapped long positions. Immediate structural support is currently in a state of price discovery, but psychological and historical liquidity points to the ~6,000 to ~6,100 zone as the next viable floor. Major historical demand lies deeper at ~5,700, marking the major breakout consolidation base from late 2024. Next Candle Probability: The current price action perfectly aligns with Scenario 99: 🔴 Waterfall Capitulation. The 1-week candle is a massive, wide-range downward expansion that completely ignored any intraday buying attempts. Because it closed at the absolute lows with virtually no lower wick, it indicates sellers maintained aggressive, panic-driven control straight into the Friday bell. The highest structural probability for the next weekly candle is continued downside follow-through, targeting lower liquidity pools as margin calls and systematic unwinds persist. Primary View Invalidation: To invalidate this waterfall capitulation primary view, buyers must orchestrate a miraculous, high-volume V-shaped short squeeze that immediately arrests the slide and sustains a weekly close back above the ~6,500 breakdown level. This would trap the aggressive short positioning, suggest the massive flush was an anomalous liquidity sweep, and stabilize the broader macro structure. Technical Risks & Opportunities: 3 Technical Risks: Cascading Systemic Unwinds: A continuation below current levels risks triggering further mechanical selling from volatility-targeting funds and negative gamma options positioning, violently accelerating the markdown phase. Momentum Entrenchment: If the Ultra Short Term and Short Term oscillators remain pinned at the zero-bound extreme without triggering a relief bounce, it signals a structural regime change where buyers have entirely abandoned the tape. Lower High Confirmation: Any anemic, low-volume relief rally that fails to forcefully clear the 6,500 supply wall will simply provide smart money with premium liquidity to short into, cementing a macro lower-high. 3 Technical Opportunities: Oversold Rubber-Band Snapback: The extreme downside fracturing and zero-bound momentum tiers create a highly pressurized, stretched environment; stabilization here could trigger a violent, highly tradable V-shaped relief rally. Generational Base Reset: Should the index flush down to the 5,700 – 6,000 historical demand zone, it would wash out months of excess macro froth and provide a pristine, low-risk institutional accumulation zone for the next cycle. Volatility Contraction Setup: If the tape can temporarily arrest the slide and begin printing tight inside bars, it sets up a defined-risk structural baseline for a mean-reversion trade once order flow balances. The Next 10 Days: Over the next two trading weeks, the index faces a critical stabilization test as it navigates the immediate fallout of this waterfall capitulation. Given the zero-bound extremes in the faster momentum tiers, market participants should anticipate highly erratic, bidirectional volatility, where sudden, sharp short-covering relief rallies toward the ~6,500 broken support are entirely plausible but remain structurally suspect. If buyers fail to orchestrate a definitive V-shaped recovery to reclaim that 6,500 ceiling, these "dead-cat" bounces will simply provide fresh liquidity for institutional sellers, likely resulting in a secondary wave of algorithmic distribution that presses the tape down to definitively test the ~6,000 to ~6,100 historical demand zone before a durable macro floor can be established. Forecast Projection Breakdown: With fast momentum obliterated and a clear downward expansion pattern cemented on the chart, the forward-looking probability distribution heavily favors a test of lower liquidity pools, though the extreme stretch warrants vigilance for sudden snap-backs. The Bearish Scenario (60% Probability): The capitulation continues unabated. Sellers easily slice through minor psychological barriers, initiating a rapid markdown targeting the ~6,000 to ~6,100 liquidity pool as panic persists. The Base/Neutral Scenario (25% Probability): The intense selling pressure temporarily exhausts itself. The index enters a choppy, highly volatile lower-range distribution phase between ~6,300 and ~6,500 as the market attempts to find an equilibrium amid shifting flows. The Bullish Scenario (15% Probability): The extreme oversold momentum triggers a violent short-covering squeeze. Buyers aggressively absorb the supply and force a rapid upward spike back toward the ~6,500 broken floor, invalidating the immediate free-fall. Previous Post (28 October 2025): S&P 500 Index (Monthly Chart Time Frame): Broadly Overbought Conditions Lester Davids Senior Investment Analyst: Unum Capital

  • Update: Thungela Resources ❌

    Take Profit Opportunities: Our Capabilities > https://www.unum.capital/post/capabilities Free Content: June 2026 > https://www.unum.capital/post/rjune2026 Trade Local & Global Financial Markets with Unum Capital. To get started, email tradingdesk@unum.co.za NOTE: When Published Intraday (JSE Equities), Prices Are Delayed By 15 Minutes Published on Sunday 28 June for Monday 29 June. Please note: Due to unforeseen circumstances, I will not have access to my laptop on Monday 29 June. Institutional buyers have been weak and sellers have pushed the share to below the provisional buy re-entry range. As noted in the previous post: "Note: if the share continues to deteriorate significantly, the idea will be temporarily invalidated." Previous Post (17 June): 🟩Buy On Pullback: Consider R107 to R113 As Provisional Range Thungela Resources (TGA) Last Close: 12080c On 20 March the price action model warned against new buy/long positions. From a price of +R179, yesterday's low was ~R115. The share is approaching it's gradually rising 200-day SMA at which it could find short term support. As always, we expect the level to be overshot on the downside (into oversold) before developing a base and then potentially recovering. Note: if the share continues to deteriorate significantly, the idea will be temporarily invalidated. Previous Post (20 March): Thungela Resources: The Model Says: "Caution New Longs!" + New Resistance Range READY TO TRADE: ACTIONABLE AREAS For active traders who look to generate cash flow on a continuous basis, determining the ‘next best probability’ level to execute against may be of immense value, specifically by helping to determine the best potential times and levels to commit capital. The blue and red horizontal lines on the chart represent a next-best-probability buy re-entry range and a next-best-probability sell re-entry range over the short term. The ranges assume no existing position is being held by a trader, while the probabilities are based on several factors, which may include: Short-term ratings and medium-term regimes Momentum indicators Horizontal or diagonal support and resistance Candle structure Moving averages and standard deviation Please note that these are short-term levels and may contrast with medium- and long-term outlooks, which are based on the weekly and monthly charts and are generally more applicable to long-term investors. These levels are subject to change based on market sentiment, subsequent price action, and company/sector-specific or macroeconomic news flow. As always, while the levels are outlined to guide your capital deployment, traders should be prepared to adjust in real-time based on the aforementioned factors. THE TACTICAL TRADING GUIDE (PRICE ACTION MODEL): UNCOVER OPPORTUNITIES & ASSESS REWARD-TO-RISK It helps helps clients determine and shed light on the some of the following: The CURRENT TECHNICAL POSITION and a PRICE ACTION PROBABILITY for multiple time frames. Three (3) ‘trading’ time frames are considered: Short Term (1 to 10 days) / Medium Term (2 to 4 weeks) and Long Term (5 to 8 weeks) Whether the reward-to-risk is attractive for a buy/long position Whether a share is weak. In this case, wait until the price stabilizes before looking to enter (i.e. want until it stops going down) Whether aggressive buying is underway. In this case, do not ‘chase’ (do not buy) but instead wait for a pullback to re-enter a buy or an overextension with deteriorating candle structure to sell/short. Whether a trader can look to buy a pullback into a key moving average (continuation trade) Whether a share needs to break a range for a new trend to be determined (bullish or bearish) Whether a traders needs to monitor for a change of character that could lead to a bullish or bearish reversal Whether a share could start a consolidation phase or before continuing it’s bullish or bearish trend Whether the upward momentum is slowing (if it's in a bullish phase) Whether buyers can look to 'phase in' to a position (if it's in a bearish phase) Whether a share lacks directional bias. The data set is available in real-time (on request) The readings are subject to change as the price action develops. Lester Davids Senior Investment Analyst: Unum Capital

  • 🟩🛢️At/Approaching Buy/Add Range. Look For Lower Levels Before Tactical Rebound + See Price Action Model

    Take Profit Opportunities: Our Capabilities > https://www.unum.capital/post/capabilities Free Content: June 2026 > https://www.unum.capital/post/rjune2026 Trade Local & Global Financial Markets with Unum Capital. To get started, email tradingdesk@unum.co.za NOTE: When Published Intraday (JSE Equities), Prices Are Delayed By 15 Minutes Published on Sunday 28 June, for Monday 29 June. Please note: Due to unforeseen circumstances, I will not have access to my laptop on Monday 29 June. READY TO TRADE: ACTIONABLE AREAS For active traders who look to generate cash flow on a continuous basis, determining the ‘next best probability’ level to execute against may be of immense value, specifically by helping to determine the best potential times and levels to commit capital. The blue and red horizontal lines on the chart represent a next-best-probability buy re-entry range and a next-best-probability sell re-entry range over the short term. The ranges assume no existing position is being held by a trader, while the probabilities are based on several factors, which may include: Short-term ratings and medium-term regimes Momentum indicators Horizontal or diagonal support and resistance Candle structure Moving averages and standard deviation Please note that these are short-term levels and may contrast with medium- and long-term outlooks, which are based on the weekly and monthly charts and are generally more applicable to long-term investors. These levels are subject to change based on market sentiment, subsequent price action, and company/sector-specific or macroeconomic news flow. As always, while the levels are outlined to guide your capital deployment, traders should be prepared to adjust in real-time based on the aforementioned factors. THE TACTICAL TRADING GUIDE (PRICE ACTION MODEL): UNCOVER OPPORTUNITIES & ASSESS REWARD-TO-RISK It helps helps clients determine and shed light on the some of the following: The CURRENT TECHNICAL POSITION and a PRICE ACTION PROBABILITY for multiple time frames. Three (3) ‘trading’ time frames are considered: Short Term (1 to 10 days) / Medium Term (2 to 4 weeks) and Long Term (5 to 8 weeks) Whether the reward-to-risk is attractive for a buy/long position Whether a share is weak. In this case, wait until the price stabilizes before looking to enter (i.e. want until it stops going down) Whether aggressive buying is underway. In this case, do not ‘chase’ (do not buy) but instead wait for a pullback to re-enter a buy or an overextension with deteriorating candle structure to sell/short. Whether a trader can look to buy a pullback into a key moving average (continuation trade) Whether a share needs to break a range for a new trend to be determined (bullish or bearish) Whether a traders needs to monitor for a change of character that could lead to a bullish or bearish reversal Whether a share could start a consolidation phase or before continuing it’s bullish or bearish trend Whether the upward momentum is slowing (if it's in a bullish phase) Whether buyers can look to 'phase in' to a position (if it's in a bearish phase) Whether a share lacks directional bias. The data set is available in real-time (on request) The readings are subject to change as the price action develops. Lester Davids Senior Investment Analyst: Unum Capital

  • 🔵Buy On Deeper Pullback: Monitor Unfilled Gap ~9190c Down To 9100c

    Take Profit Opportunities: Our Capabilities > https://www.unum.capital/post/capabilities Free Content: June 2026 > https://www.unum.capital/post/rjune2026 Trade Local & Global Financial Markets with Unum Capital. To get started, email tradingdesk@unum.co.za NOTE: When Published Intraday (JSE Equities), Prices Are Delayed By 15 Minutes Published on Sunday 28 June for Monday 29 June. Please note: Due to unforeseen circumstances, I will not have access to my laptop on Monday 29 June. FirstRand Ltd (FSR) READY TO TRADE: ACTIONABLE AREAS For active traders who look to generate cash flow on a continuous basis, determining the ‘next best probability’ level to execute against may be of immense value, specifically by helping to determine the best potential times and levels to commit capital. The blue and red horizontal lines on the chart represent a next-best-probability buy re-entry range and a next-best-probability sell re-entry range over the short term. The ranges assume no existing position is being held by a trader, while the probabilities are based on several factors, which may include: Short-term ratings and medium-term regimes Momentum indicators Horizontal or diagonal support and resistance Candle structure Moving averages and standard deviation Please note that these are short-term levels and may contrast with medium- and long-term outlooks, which are based on the weekly and monthly charts and are generally more applicable to long-term investors. These levels are subject to change based on market sentiment, subsequent price action, and company/sector-specific or macroeconomic news flow. As always, while the levels are outlined to guide your capital deployment, traders should be prepared to adjust in real-time based on the aforementioned factors. THE TACTICAL TRADING GUIDE (PRICE ACTION MODEL): UNCOVER OPPORTUNITIES & ASSESS REWARD-TO-RISK It helps helps clients determine and shed light on the some of the following: The CURRENT TECHNICAL POSITION and a PRICE ACTION PROBABILITY for multiple time frames. Three (3) ‘trading’ time frames are considered: Short Term (1 to 10 days) / Medium Term (2 to 4 weeks) and Long Term (5 to 8 weeks) Whether the reward-to-risk is attractive for a buy/long position Whether a share is weak. In this case, wait until the price stabilizes before looking to enter (i.e. want until it stops going down) Whether aggressive buying is underway. In this case, do not ‘chase’ (do not buy) but instead wait for a pullback to re-enter a buy or an overextension with deteriorating candle structure to sell/short. Whether a trader can look to buy a pullback into a key moving average (continuation trade) Whether a share needs to break a range for a new trend to be determined (bullish or bearish) Whether a traders needs to monitor for a change of character that could lead to a bullish or bearish reversal Whether a share could start a consolidation phase or before continuing it’s bullish or bearish trend Whether the upward momentum is slowing (if it's in a bullish phase) Whether buyers can look to 'phase in' to a position (if it's in a bearish phase) Whether a share lacks directional bias. The data set is available in real-time (on request) The readings are subject to change as the price action develops. Lester Davids Senior Investment Analyst: Unum Capital

  • ✔🟩 Healthcare / Pharma / Biotechnology. Move Your Trading Account To Unum Capital Today

    Take Profit Opportunities: Our Capabilities > https://www.unum.capital/post/capabilities Free Content: June 2026 > https://www.unum.capital/post/rjune2026 Trade Local & Global Financial Markets with Unum Capital. To get started, email tradingdesk@unum.co.za NOTE: When Published Intraday (JSE Equities), Prices Are Delayed By 15 Minutes Please note: Due to unforeseen circumstances, I will not have access to my laptop on Monday 29 June. ROTATION: The market is latching onto the healthcare, pharma and biotech themes. i.e. as money leaves large cap technology shares (the hyper-scalers), professional investors are allocating to the aforementioned sectors (among other sectors). Clients at Unum Capital, via our research, were well positioned to capitalize on the moves into these areas. We alerted via ideas: PJP ETF (Invesco Pharmaceuticals) Johnson & Johnson SBIO ETF (Alps Medical Breakthrough) PJP ETF (Invesco Pharmaceuticals) - Alert at $85, now $118. Johnson & Johnson (Alert at $173, now $254) - Target Exceed at $205 SBIO ETF (Alps Medical Breakthrough) - Target Reached. Lester Davids Senior Investment Analyst: Unum Capital

  • 🟥🟩🟧 JSE Sector Momentum Dashboard

    Take Profit Opportunities: Our Capabilities > https://www.unum.capital/post/capabilities Free Content: June 2026 > https://www.unum.capital/post/rjune2026 Trade Local & Global Financial Markets with Unum Capital. To get started, email tradingdesk@unum.co.za NOTE: When Published Intraday (JSE Equities), Prices Are Delayed By 15 Minutes Published Saturday 27 June for Monday 29 June. Please note: Due to unforeseen circumstances, I will not have access to my laptop on Monday 29 June. Lester Davids Senior Investment Analyst: Unum Capital

  • Risk Index: Sentiment Across South African Equities

    Take Profit Opportunities: Our Capabilities > https://www.unum.capital/post/capabilities Free Content: June 2026 > https://www.unum.capital/post/rjune2026 Trade Local & Global Financial Markets with Unum Capital. To get started, email tradingdesk@unum.co.za NOTE: When Published Intraday (JSE Equities), Prices Are Delayed By 15 Minutes Published Saturday 27 June for Monday 29 June. READY TO TRADE: ACTIONABLE AREAS For active traders who look to generate cash flow on a continuous basis, determining the ‘next best probability’ level to execute against may be of immense value, specifically by helping to determine the best potential times and levels to commit capital. The blue and red horizontal lines on the chart represent a next-best-probability buy re-entry range and a next-best-probability sell re-entry range over the short term. The ranges assume no existing position is being held by a trader, while the probabilities are based on several factors, which may include: Short-term ratings and medium-term regimes Momentum indicators Horizontal or diagonal support and resistance Candle structure Moving averages and standard deviation Please note that these are short-term levels and may contrast with medium- and long-term outlooks, which are based on the weekly and monthly charts and are generally more applicable to long-term investors. These levels are subject to change based on market sentiment, subsequent price action, and company/sector-specific or macroeconomic news flow. As always, while the levels are outlined to guide your capital deployment, traders should be prepared to adjust in real-time based on the aforementioned factors. THE TACTICAL TRADING GUIDE (PRICE ACTION MODEL): UNCOVER OPPORTUNITIES & ASSESS REWARD-TO-RISK It helps helps clients determine and shed light on the some of the following: The CURRENT TECHNICAL POSITION and a PRICE ACTION PROBABILITY for multiple time frames. Three (3) ‘trading’ time frames are considered: Short Term (1 to 10 days) / Medium Term (2 to 4 weeks) and Long Term (5 to 8 weeks) Whether the reward-to-risk is attractive for a buy/long position Whether a share is weak. In this case, wait until the price stabilizes before looking to enter (i.e. want until it stops going down) Whether aggressive buying is underway. In this case, do not ‘chase’ (do not buy) but instead wait for a pullback to re-enter a buy or an overextension with deteriorating candle structure to sell/short. Whether a trader can look to buy a pullback into a key moving average (continuation trade) Whether a share needs to break a range for a new trend to be determined (bullish or bearish) Whether a traders needs to monitor for a change of character that could lead to a bullish or bearish reversal Whether a share could start a consolidation phase or before continuing it’s bullish or bearish trend Whether the upward momentum is slowing (if it's in a bullish phase) Whether buyers can look to 'phase in' to a position (if it's in a bearish phase) Whether a share lacks directional bias. The data set is available in real-time (on request) The readings are subject to change as the price action develops. Lester Davids Senior Investment Analyst: Unum Capital

  • 🖥️Technical Screen: Most Aggressive Intra-Month Buying

    Take Profit Opportunities: Our Capabilities > https://www.unum.capital/post/capabilities Free Content: June 2026 > https://www.unum.capital/post/rjune2026 Trade Local & Global Financial Markets with Unum Capital. To get started, email tradingdesk@unum.co.za NOTE: When Published Intraday (JSE Equities), Prices Are Delayed By 15 Minutes Published Saturday 27 June for Monday 29 June. READY TO TRADE: ACTIONABLE AREAS For active traders who look to generate cash flow on a continuous basis, determining the ‘next best probability’ level to execute against may be of immense value, specifically by helping to determine the best potential times and levels to commit capital. The blue and red horizontal lines on the chart represent a next-best-probability buy re-entry range and a next-best-probability sell re-entry range over the short term. The ranges assume no existing position is being held by a trader, while the probabilities are based on several factors, which may include: Short-term ratings and medium-term regimes Momentum indicators Horizontal or diagonal support and resistance Candle structure Moving averages and standard deviation Please note that these are short-term levels and may contrast with medium- and long-term outlooks, which are based on the weekly and monthly charts and are generally more applicable to long-term investors. These levels are subject to change based on market sentiment, subsequent price action, and company/sector-specific or macroeconomic news flow. As always, while the levels are outlined to guide your capital deployment, traders should be prepared to adjust in real-time based on the aforementioned factors. THE TACTICAL TRADING GUIDE (PRICE ACTION MODEL): UNCOVER OPPORTUNITIES & ASSESS REWARD-TO-RISK It helps helps clients determine and shed light on the some of the following: The CURRENT TECHNICAL POSITION and a PRICE ACTION PROBABILITY for multiple time frames. Three (3) ‘trading’ time frames are considered: Short Term (1 to 10 days) / Medium Term (2 to 4 weeks) and Long Term (5 to 8 weeks) Whether the reward-to-risk is attractive for a buy/long position Whether a share is weak. In this case, wait until the price stabilizes before looking to enter (i.e. want until it stops going down) Whether aggressive buying is underway. In this case, do not ‘chase’ (do not buy) but instead wait for a pullback to re-enter a buy or an overextension with deteriorating candle structure to sell/short. Whether a trader can look to buy a pullback into a key moving average (continuation trade) Whether a share needs to break a range for a new trend to be determined (bullish or bearish) Whether a traders needs to monitor for a change of character that could lead to a bullish or bearish reversal Whether a share could start a consolidation phase or before continuing it’s bullish or bearish trend Whether the upward momentum is slowing (if it's in a bullish phase) Whether buyers can look to 'phase in' to a position (if it's in a bearish phase) Whether a share lacks directional bias. The data set is available in real-time (on request) The readings are subject to change as the price action develops. Lester Davids Senior Investment Analyst: Unum Capital

  • 🖥️Technical Screen: Most Aggressive Intra-Week Buying

    Take Profit Opportunities: Our Capabilities > https://www.unum.capital/post/capabilities Free Content: June 2026 > https://www.unum.capital/post/rjune2026 Trade Local & Global Financial Markets with Unum Capital. To get started, email tradingdesk@unum.co.za NOTE: When Published Intraday (JSE Equities), Prices Are Delayed By 15 Minutes Published Saturday 27 June for Monday 29 June. READY TO TRADE: ACTIONABLE AREAS For active traders who look to generate cash flow on a continuous basis, determining the ‘next best probability’ level to execute against may be of immense value, specifically by helping to determine the best potential times and levels to commit capital. The blue and red horizontal lines on the chart represent a next-best-probability buy re-entry range and a next-best-probability sell re-entry range over the short term. The ranges assume no existing position is being held by a trader, while the probabilities are based on several factors, which may include: Short-term ratings and medium-term regimes Momentum indicators Horizontal or diagonal support and resistance Candle structure Moving averages and standard deviation Please note that these are short-term levels and may contrast with medium- and long-term outlooks, which are based on the weekly and monthly charts and are generally more applicable to long-term investors. These levels are subject to change based on market sentiment, subsequent price action, and company/sector-specific or macroeconomic news flow. As always, while the levels are outlined to guide your capital deployment, traders should be prepared to adjust in real-time based on the aforementioned factors. THE TACTICAL TRADING GUIDE (PRICE ACTION MODEL): UNCOVER OPPORTUNITIES & ASSESS REWARD-TO-RISK It helps helps clients determine and shed light on the some of the following: The CURRENT TECHNICAL POSITION and a PRICE ACTION PROBABILITY for multiple time frames. Three (3) ‘trading’ time frames are considered: Short Term (1 to 10 days) / Medium Term (2 to 4 weeks) and Long Term (5 to 8 weeks) Whether the reward-to-risk is attractive for a buy/long position Whether a share is weak. In this case, wait until the price stabilizes before looking to enter (i.e. want until it stops going down) Whether aggressive buying is underway. In this case, do not ‘chase’ (do not buy) but instead wait for a pullback to re-enter a buy or an overextension with deteriorating candle structure to sell/short. Whether a trader can look to buy a pullback into a key moving average (continuation trade) Whether a share needs to break a range for a new trend to be determined (bullish or bearish) Whether a traders needs to monitor for a change of character that could lead to a bullish or bearish reversal Whether a share could start a consolidation phase or before continuing it’s bullish or bearish trend Whether the upward momentum is slowing (if it's in a bullish phase) Whether buyers can look to 'phase in' to a position (if it's in a bearish phase) Whether a share lacks directional bias. The data set is available in real-time (on request) The readings are subject to change as the price action develops. Lester Davids Senior Investment Analyst: Unum Capital

  • BHP Group: Actionable Areas

    Take Profit Opportunities: Our Capabilities > https://www.unum.capital/post/capabilities Free Content: June 2026 > https://www.unum.capital/post/rjune2026 Trade Local & Global Financial Markets with Unum Capital. To get started, email tradingdesk@unum.co.za NOTE: When Published Intraday (JSE Equities), Prices Are Delayed By 15 Minutes Published Saturday 27 June for Monday 29 June. "Based on the Daily Chart for BHP Group Ltd (BHG) the reward-to-risk profile has deteriorated significantly following a sharp rejection at multi-month highs. The upside reward potential is currently low 🟥 because any reflexive bounce faces intense overhead supply from trapped buyers within the previous distribution top, turning prior support shelves into formidable ceilings. Conversely, the downside risk is elevated 🟥. The persistent cascading price action suggests that the path of least resistance has shifted firmly downward, leaving the asset vulnerable to deeper liquidation before discovering a durable short-term floor." If you are a short term trader, watch the overshoot of the rising 21-week EMA (~R620 to ~R644) as a tactical level to accumulate for an ultra short term rebound. Should the price continue to deteriorate around this level (i.e. if institutional investors do not step in as buyers, then a buy re-entry idea will be considered temporary invalid). READY TO TRADE: ACTIONABLE AREAS For active traders who look to generate cash flow on a continuous basis, determining the ‘next best probability’ level to execute against may be of immense value, specifically by helping to determine the best potential times and levels to commit capital. The blue and red horizontal lines on the chart represent a next-best-probability buy re-entry range and a next-best-probability sell re-entry range over the short term. The ranges assume no existing position is being held by a trader, while the probabilities are based on several factors, which may include: Short-term ratings and medium-term regimes Momentum indicators Horizontal or diagonal support and resistance Candle structure Moving averages and standard deviation Please note that these are short-term levels and may contrast with medium- and long-term outlooks, which are based on the weekly and monthly charts and are generally more applicable to long-term investors. These levels are subject to change based on market sentiment, subsequent price action, and company/sector-specific or macroeconomic news flow. As always, while the levels are outlined to guide your capital deployment, traders should be prepared to adjust in real-time based on the aforementioned factors. THE TACTICAL TRADING GUIDE (PRICE ACTION MODEL): UNCOVER OPPORTUNITIES & ASSESS REWARD-TO-RISK It helps helps clients determine and shed light on the some of the following: The CURRENT TECHNICAL POSITION and a PRICE ACTION PROBABILITY for multiple time frames. Three (3) ‘trading’ time frames are considered: Short Term (1 to 10 days) / Medium Term (2 to 4 weeks) and Long Term (5 to 8 weeks) Whether the reward-to-risk is attractive for a buy/long position Whether a share is weak. In this case, wait until the price stabilizes before looking to enter (i.e. want until it stops going down) Whether aggressive buying is underway. In this case, do not ‘chase’ (do not buy) but instead wait for a pullback to re-enter a buy or an overextension with deteriorating candle structure to sell/short. Whether a trader can look to buy a pullback into a key moving average (continuation trade) Whether a share needs to break a range for a new trend to be determined (bullish or bearish) Whether a traders needs to monitor for a change of character that could lead to a bullish or bearish reversal Whether a share could start a consolidation phase or before continuing it’s bullish or bearish trend Whether the upward momentum is slowing (if it's in a bullish phase) Whether buyers can look to 'phase in' to a position (if it's in a bearish phase) Whether a share lacks directional bias. The data set is available in real-time (on request) The readings are subject to change as the price action develops. Lester Davids Senior Investment Analyst: Unum Capital

  • MTN Group: What's The Reward-To-Risk From Current Levels?

    Take Profit Opportunities: Our Capabilities > https://www.unum.capital/post/capabilities Free Content: June 2026 > https://www.unum.capital/post/rjune2026 Trade Local & Global Financial Markets with Unum Capital. To get started, email tradingdesk@unum.co.za NOTE: When Published Intraday (JSE Equities), Prices Are Delayed By 15 Minutes Published Saturday 27 June for Monday 29 June. MTN Group has displayed one of the most constructive upward trends in the large cap space. Consolidating near multi-year highs, the share looks poised to test the April 2015 and September 2014 swing highs of around ~R253 and ~R265. Core Views: Buy on Deeper Pullback Sell On Parabolic Overextension DAILY CHART ANALYSIS Based on the Daily Chart for MTN Group Limited (MTN), the reward-to-risk profile is constructive as the asset resumes its primary uptrend following a brief, shallow consolidation. The upside reward potential is moderate to high 🟩 because the stock has successfully defended its structural baselines and is actively pushing back toward recent absolute highs. Conversely, the downside risk is managed 🟩. The market has established a clear pattern of buying dips within the broader ascending channel, leaving well-defined support floors just below current price action. The Last Day Candle Structure indicates near-term consolidation, forming a mild bearish candle 🟥 that reflects localized profit-taking near the recent peak. Looking at the Last 5 Days Candle Structure, the stock exhibits a strong impulsive upward leg that broke through local resistance, transitioning into a lateral holding pattern. The Last 10 Days Candle Structure reveals a continued push into higher highs followed by this current shallow pullback, keeping the broader bullish structure entirely intact. Zooming out to the Last 3 Months Candle Structure, the asset is navigating a clean, highly resilient primary uptrend, marked by consistent institutional bidding on every minor correction. The trend’s steepness and slope on this immediate leg indicate a measured, sustainable advance. The angle of ascent is steady, tracking at roughly 45 to 55 degrees upward 🟩. Consequently, the immediate trend remains structurally bullish 🟩, keeping price action firmly above its short-term historical averages. In terms of the Momentum Profile, the oscillators confirm a structurally sound market that is cycling out of a brief rest. The Ultra Short Term momentum is pointing down and is classified as NEUTRAL 🟧, reflecting the immediate localized pause. Similarly, the Short Term momentum is pointing down and sits firmly in NEUTRAL 🟧 territory. Moving to the medium-term picture, the Mid Term momentum has cooled from previous highs and is officially categorized as NEUTRAL 🟧, confirming that the multi-day structural momentum has fully digested overbought conditions and is resting at equilibrium. Finally, the Base Term momentum sits in STRONG 🟩 territory, validating that the underlying trend foundation remains robust and supportive. WEEKLY CHART ANALYSIS Based on the Weekly Chart for MTN Group Limited (MTN), the reward-to-risk profile highlights a powerful primary uptrend that is steadily marching higher. The upside reward potential is attractive 🟩 because the asset has successfully cleared previous macro consolidation zones, maintaining a clean runway for further upward price discovery. Conversely, the downside risk is relatively low 🟩, as the steady, staircase-like ascent has built multiple robust support shelves directly below current price action. The Last Candle Structure shows a mild resting phase, forming a small consolidation candle 🟧 that reflects localized profit-taking without damaging the broader bullish structure. Looking at the Last 5 Candles Structure, the index displays a clean sequence of grinding accumulation, confirming persistent institutional bidding across the weekly duration. The Last 10 Candles Structure captures a textbook upward channel where minor pullbacks are instantly and aggressively bought. Zooming out to the Last 3 Months Candle Structure, the broader macro environment shows a definitive and sustained mark-up phase with no signs of structural exhaustion. The trend’s steepness and slope outline a highly durable advance. The angle of ascent is moderately aggressive, tracking at approximately 50 to 60 degrees upward 🟩. This confirms the prevailing macro trend is definitively bullish 🟩. In terms of the Momentum Profile, the macro indicators reflect a strong and active trend. The Tactical Momentum is classified as HIGH BULLISH MOMENTUM / APPROACHING OVERBOUGHT 🟧, reflecting elevated near-term momentum. The Fast Weekly momentum aligns with this, tracking in HIGH BULLISH MOMENTUM / APPROACHING OVERBOUGHT 🟧 territory. Moving to the structural timeframe, the Structural Trend momentum is firmly categorized as STRONG 🟩, indicating that the medium-term macro trend is fully engaged in a healthy expansion cycle. Finally, the Primary Trend momentum sits in STRONG 🟩 territory, confirming the broader foundational cycle is inherently bullish. MONTHLY CHART ANALYSIS Based on the Monthly Chart for MTN Group Limited (MTN), the reward-to-risk profile is governed by a powerful, multi-year secular recovery trend. The upside reward potential remains attractive 🟩 as the stock methodically scales higher, marching back toward major historical resistance zones. Conversely, the downside risk is managed structurally but elevating on a mean-reversion basis 🟧, as the extended duration of the rally creates a wider gap down to foundational moving average baselines. The Last Candle Structure remains exceptionally strong, forming a bullish expansion candle 🟩 that reflects total control by long-term capital pools. Looking at the Last 5 Candles Structure, the asset displays an uninterrupted series of positive months, signaling a pure, unadulterated mark-up phase. The Last 10 Candles Structure illustrates a relentless structural advance off a major higher-low foundation. Zooming out to the Last 3 Months Candle Structure, the market continues to accelerate upward within a massive secular bull channel. The trend’s steepness and slope reflect a sustainable and relentless secular rally. The angle of ascent is steady, tracking at approximately 45 to 55 degrees upward 🟩 on the macro scale. This confirms the overarching secular trend is powerfully bullish 🟩. In terms of the Momentum Profile, the long-term indicators are signaling peak historical velocity. The Quarterly Pulse momentum is tracking as OVERBOUGHT 🟧, reflecting immediate long-term extension. The Fast Monthly momentum is also tracking as OVERBOUGHT 🟧. Moving to the secular view, the Secular Cycle momentum has pushed deeply into the OVERBOUGHT 🟧 category, showing that the long-term structural oscillator is highly extended. Finally, the Core Baseline momentum is actively tracking in STRONG 🟩 territory, confirming that the multi-year foundational trend has ample energy and institutional backing. READY TO TRADE: ACTIONABLE AREAS For active traders who look to generate cash flow on a continuous basis, determining the ‘next best probability’ level to execute against may be of immense value, specifically by helping to determine the best potential times and levels to commit capital. The blue and red horizontal lines on the chart represent a next-best-probability buy re-entry range and a next-best-probability sell re-entry range over the short term. The ranges assume no existing position is being held by a trader, while the probabilities are based on several factors, which may include: Short-term ratings and medium-term regimes Momentum indicators Horizontal or diagonal support and resistance Candle structure Moving averages and standard deviation Please note that these are short-term levels and may contrast with medium- and long-term outlooks, which are based on the weekly and monthly charts and are generally more applicable to long-term investors. These levels are subject to change based on market sentiment, subsequent price action, and company/sector-specific or macroeconomic news flow. As always, while the levels are outlined to guide your capital deployment, traders should be prepared to adjust in real-time based on the aforementioned factors. THE TACTICAL TRADING GUIDE (PRICE ACTION MODEL): UNCOVER OPPORTUNITIES & ASSESS REWARD-TO-RISK It helps helps clients determine and shed light on the some of the following: The CURRENT TECHNICAL POSITION and a PRICE ACTION PROBABILITY for multiple time frames. Three (3) ‘trading’ time frames are considered: Short Term (1 to 10 days) / Medium Term (2 to 4 weeks) and Long Term (5 to 8 weeks) Whether the reward-to-risk is attractive for a buy/long position Whether a share is weak. In this case, wait until the price stabilizes before looking to enter (i.e. want until it stops going down) Whether aggressive buying is underway. In this case, do not ‘chase’ (do not buy) but instead wait for a pullback to re-enter a buy or an overextension with deteriorating candle structure to sell/short. Whether a trader can look to buy a pullback into a key moving average (continuation trade) Whether a share needs to break a range for a new trend to be determined (bullish or bearish) Whether a traders needs to monitor for a change of character that could lead to a bullish or bearish reversal Whether a share could start a consolidation phase or before continuing it’s bullish or bearish trend Whether the upward momentum is slowing (if it's in a bullish phase) Whether buyers can look to 'phase in' to a position (if it's in a bearish phase) Whether a share lacks directional bias. The data set is available in real-time (on request) The readings are subject to change as the price action develops. Lester Davids Senior Investment Analyst: Unum Capital

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